Author Topic: Predicting Early rotation  (Read 1219 times)

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Predicting Early rotation
« on: August 07, 2018, 12:05:21 PM »

Offline CFAN38

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The rotation is going to be a tough puzzle for BS this season.

Assuming 100% health this is my prediction to start the year.

Starters

Irving 32mpg

Brown 31mpg

Tatum 34mpg

Hayward 32mpg

Horford 30mpg

Bench

Smart 28mpg

Rozier 20mpg

Morris 18mpg

Baynes 15mpg

Notes:

Morris will likely have to play some minutes as a small ball 5 in order to get on the court.

Baynes will see his min fluctuate based on match-ups

Against most teams I suspect we will see Tatum as the first player subbed out likely for Smart. It will make sense for the Cs to stagger Irving, Tatum and Hayward in a way that one of the 3 is always on the court.

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #1 on: August 07, 2018, 01:13:07 PM »

Offline bellerephon

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I think Theis gets regular minutes, and I doubt there are as many guys over 30 mpg as suggested here, but otherwise itís the most likely lineup.

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #2 on: August 07, 2018, 01:45:32 PM »

Offline Evantime34

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The rotation is going to be a tough puzzle for BS this season.

Assuming 100% health this is my prediction to start the year.

Starters

Irving 32mpg

Brown 31mpg

Tatum 34mpg

Hayward 32mpg

Horford 30mpg

Bench

Smart 28mpg

Rozier 20mpg

Morris 18mpg

Baynes 15mpg

Notes:

Morris will likely have to play some minutes as a small ball 5 in order to get on the court.

Baynes will see his min fluctuate based on match-ups

Against most teams I suspect we will see Tatum as the first player subbed out likely for Smart. It will make sense for the Cs to stagger Irving, Tatum and Hayward in a way that one of the 3 is always on the court.
If the team is as good as I expect I think the starters minutes will be pushed down due to blowing bad teams out.
DKC:  Rockets
CB Draft: Memphis Grizz
Players: Klay Thompson, Jabari Parker, Aaron Gordon
Next 3 picks: 4.14, 4.15, 4.19

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #3 on: August 07, 2018, 01:56:38 PM »

Offline Rosco917

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Hayward will play less than 32 minutes a game, especially for the first half of the season, and also Irving. Due to both players coming off surgery. 

It's going to be a while before Hayward gains confidence in that foot. He may start games but will be the first player to be substituted for IMO.

Lucky for him and the team that the C's are so deep at SF.

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #4 on: August 07, 2018, 02:30:05 PM »

Offline Silas

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I just checked the minutes for the 85/86 Celts.  I've put my guess and corresponding player next to each old timer (some numbers are rounded)...

Bird - 38 min   --      Hayward - 30
McHale - 35    --       Tatum - 32
DJ - 35        --          Irving - 35
Parish - 32   --         Horford -  28
Danny - 30   --         Brown -  32
  sub total - 170      sub total - 157
Sichting - 20   --       Rozier - 22
Walton - 19     --       Baynes - 15
Wedman - 18  --       Morris  - 15
Carlisle - 10    --       Smart -  25
  sub total -  67       sub total -  77
Williams - 9       --      Theis  -  6
Thirdkill - 8
Vincent - 8
Kite - 7

My guess is that Irving, Tatum, and Brown get the most minutes and finish a tight game with Hayward and Horford. 
« Last Edit: August 07, 2018, 02:35:32 PM by Silas »
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Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #5 on: August 07, 2018, 04:02:11 PM »

Offline Chris22

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Baynes will start against some centers.

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #6 on: August 07, 2018, 04:08:38 PM »

Offline bellerephon

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Yes, Baynes will likely get a few starts depending on match ups. I also doubt that Brad will have a nine or ten man rotation during the regular season. I think Semi, Bird, and maybe even Yabu will get some minutes here and there. They won't get down to the ten man rotation until it gets closer to playoff time.

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #7 on: August 07, 2018, 04:43:01 PM »

Offline mgent

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Kyrie 32 / Rozier 16
Brown 32 / Smart 16
Hayward 32 / Smart 16
Tatum 32 / Morris 16
Horford 32 / Baynes 16
Philly:

Anderson Varejao    Tiago Splitter    Matt Bonner
David West    Kenyon Martin    Brad Miller
Andre Iguodala    Josh Childress    Marquis Daniels
Dwyane Wade    Leandro Barbosa
Kirk Hinrich    Toney Douglas   + the legendary Kevin McHale

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #8 on: August 07, 2018, 05:52:37 PM »

Offline ImShakHeIsShaq

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Healthy-ish team, CBS is going to try his hardest to keep starters around 32 mins, it's what he does. I hope blowouts force us into playing them 30. We will be as fresh as a team can be if it works out. Our bench is potentially better than any bench GSW has ever had!
It takes me 3hrs to get to Miami and 1hr to get to Orlando... but I *SPIT* on their NBA teams! "Bless God and bless the (Celts)"-Lady GaGa (she said gays but she really meant Celts)

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #9 on: August 07, 2018, 08:17:30 PM »

Online gouki88

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Kyrie 32 / Rozier 16
Brown 32 / Smart 16
Hayward 32 / Smart 16
Tatum 32 / Morris 16
Horford 32 / Baynes 16
There is simply no way Smart plays doubles the minutes that Rozier and Morris do

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #10 on: August 07, 2018, 10:15:20 PM »

Offline Csfan1984

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All healthy I'd want to plan for everyone under 30 minutes unless they are having a hot night. Minutes per position avg for the main rotation I list below. There is a balance of unclaimed minutes that would go to the best playing guys that night or to the end of the bench guys

PG- Irving 28, Rozier 12, Smart 6
SG- Brown 26, Smart 12, Rozier 6
SF- Hayward 26, Morris 7, Tatum 7, Semi 5
PF- Tatum 20, Horford 10, Morris 12, Theis 5
C- Horford 15, Baynes 15, Theis 10

That's an 11 man nightly rotation.
Guards-Irving 28, Smart 18, Rozier 18
Wings-Hayward 26, Brown 26, Tatum 27, Morris 19, Semi 5
Bigs-Horford 25, Baynes 15, Theis 15
Mock "trade deadline" team: Blazers.
PG-Lillard, Napier, Baldwin
SG-McCollum, Connaughton, Wilcox
SF-Fournier, Harkless, Layman
PF-Aminu, Davis
C- Nurkic, Leonard, Collins

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #11 on: August 07, 2018, 10:58:55 PM »

Offline KGs Knee

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Irving - 32
Tatum - 32
Brown - 32
Horford - 30
Hayward - 28
Smart - 23
Rozier - 23
Morris - 15
Baynes - 15
Theis - 10

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #12 on: August 07, 2018, 11:28:31 PM »

Offline CELTICSofBOSTON

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POINT GUARD:
30 Kyrie Irving
10 Marcus Smart
8  Terry Rozier

TWO GUARD:
12 Jaylen Brown
18 Marcus Smart
18 Terry Rozier

SMALL FORWARD:
20 Gordon Hayward
18 Jaylen Brown
10 Jayson Tatum

POWER FORWARD:
20 Jayson Tatum
16 Marcus Morris
8  Gordon Hayward
4  Al Horford

CENTER:
24 Al Horford
14 Aron Baynes
10 Daniel Theis

Keeps everyone at or under 30 total minutes which will hopefully keep everyone fresh for the playoffs especially our vets and players coming off injury.  Unfortunately Semi Ojeleye and Robert Williams wonít play much.  Also, Daniel Theis and Aaron Baynes wonít play nearly as much as they should.  Theyíre both so good.  Ideally Marcus Morris would be left out of the rotation which would leave more minutes for Al at the 4 and more minutes for Baynes and Theis who are more valuable players.  Unfortunately, I donít see that happening. Semi Ojeleye or Robert Williams could also take some of those 16 minutes.  Brad Wanamaker, Jabari Bird, and Guerschon Yabusele will be the deep reserves.

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #13 on: August 08, 2018, 04:22:40 AM »

Online iadera

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I truly believe Robert Williams is gonna have some minutes, at least against lottery teams.

Re: Predicting Early rotation
« Reply #14 on: August 08, 2018, 06:14:32 AM »

Offline RockinRyA

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Starters will average 20 mins a game. Each game will be over at the half. Robert Williams will lead the Celtics in mpg. 82-0 baby!