Author Topic: Lakers now second best title odds for next season  (Read 4415 times)

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Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #15 on: June 29, 2018, 05:04:01 PM »

Offline GreenEnvy

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I pulled the trigger on the 2008 team and won.   I can't blame them for trying.....  I owe it to this blog for helping me win with our inside scope.     

Don't hate on them, if they pull of what Boston did in 2008 you would be optimistic too.

I (vividly) recall the Celtics were 75-1 favorites going into the summer of 2007..

When news surfaced at the end of July that KG was willing to sign an extension, those odds shot to 12-1 almost instantaneously. By the time the season started I think I remember them at 8-1.
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Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #16 on: June 29, 2018, 05:31:58 PM »

Offline celticsclay

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Casinos are taking advantage of Lakers fan suckers. They must be seeing a lot of betting on them.

I am not saying there isn't some truth to this, and it isn't really a great line for them, but this stuff is based heavily in reality. Especially on something that is not a prop bet (eg where Lebron plays next season) that generally has a very low max bet because of inside information.

Someone could bet 6 figures on this and they would not want to have bad odds. So people with very inside information are convinced that him returning to Cleveland is dead because the Cavs are currently 52-1 to win the title next year. Where if someone purchased that right now they could sell it back at 4 times the price on a future market the day after Lebron returned.

I'm never going to stake my life to this stuff cause crazy things happen, but this is a stronger indicator than woj and shams and every other insider combined 50 times over.

I think the 52-1 Cleveland line is more telling. That’s wild.
It is almost worth making a small bet at that line.

Moranis if you want me to put 5 bucks on it for you i will.

Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #17 on: June 29, 2018, 05:37:00 PM »

Offline tarheelsxxiii

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Casinos are taking advantage of Lakers fan suckers. They must be seeing a lot of betting on them.

I am not saying there isn't some truth to this, and it isn't really a great line for them, but this stuff is based heavily in reality. Especially on something that is not a prop bet (eg where Lebron plays next season) that generally has a very low max bet because of inside information.

Someone could bet 6 figures on this and they would not want to have bad odds. So people with very inside information are convinced that him returning to Cleveland is dead because the Cavs are currently 52-1 to win the title next year. Where if someone purchased that right now they could sell it back at 4 times the price on a future market the day after Lebron returned.

I'm never going to stake my life to this stuff cause crazy things happen, but this is a stronger indicator than woj and shams and every other insider combined 50 times over.

I think the 52-1 Cleveland line is more telling. That’s wild.
It is almost worth making a small bet at that line.

Moranis if you want me to put 5 bucks on it for you i will.

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Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #18 on: June 29, 2018, 05:41:50 PM »

Offline celticsclay

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Casinos are taking advantage of Lakers fan suckers. They must be seeing a lot of betting on them.

I am not saying there isn't some truth to this, and it isn't really a great line for them, but this stuff is based heavily in reality. Especially on something that is not a prop bet (eg where Lebron plays next season) that generally has a very low max bet because of inside information.

Someone could bet 6 figures on this and they would not want to have bad odds. So people with very inside information are convinced that him returning to Cleveland is dead because the Cavs are currently 52-1 to win the title next year. Where if someone purchased that right now they could sell it back at 4 times the price on a future market the day after Lebron returned.

I'm never going to stake my life to this stuff cause crazy things happen, but this is a stronger indicator than woj and shams and every other insider combined 50 times over.

I think the 52-1 Cleveland line is more telling. That’s wild.
It is almost worth making a small bet at that line.

Moranis if you want me to put 5 bucks on it for you i will.



Screw it moranis i will free roll you for half of it. I placed the 5 dollar bet. If the cavs win the title next year i will give you 130 bucks ( you don't owe me anything). Just for fun with this saga.

Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #19 on: June 29, 2018, 05:42:54 PM »

Offline saltlover

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Casinos are taking advantage of Lakers fan suckers. They must be seeing a lot of betting on them.

I am not saying there isn't some truth to this, and it isn't really a great line for them, but this stuff is based heavily in reality. Especially on something that is not a prop bet (eg where Lebron plays next season) that generally has a very low max bet because of inside information.

Someone could bet 6 figures on this and they would not want to have bad odds. So people with very inside information are convinced that him returning to Cleveland is dead because the Cavs are currently 52-1 to win the title next year. Where if someone purchased that right now they could sell it back at 4 times the price on a future market the day after Lebron returned.

I'm never going to stake my life to this stuff cause crazy things happen, but this is a stronger indicator than woj and shams and every other insider combined 50 times over.

I think the 52-1 Cleveland line is more telling. That’s wild.
It is almost worth making a small bet at that line.

Moranis if you want me to put 5 bucks on it for you i will.



Screw it moranis i will free roll you for half of it. I placed the 5 dollar bet. If the cavs win the title next year i will give you 130 bucks ( you don't owe me anything). Just for fun with this saga.

Don’t take this the wrong way, but I hope you lose $5.

Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #20 on: June 29, 2018, 05:44:26 PM »

Offline Neurotic Guy

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I deeply and passionately hate the Lakers. That they are considered contenders while having one of the ten (or so) worst rosters in the league is just so revealing with regard to the advantage the franchise has over every other.  Disgusting.  It’s Shaq all other again. Lakers don’t earn their rise to contention like other teams.  I hate them.

Are you saying that they are one of the 10 worst rosters in the NBA with Lebron?
Its disgusting  they will get Lebron?

Currently, without LBJ, they are a bad team.   

They, like dozens of teams of the years, are a bad team with cap space.   They are now a favorite/contender because players want to play in Hollywood to be cheered by Jack and Dyan, and hang with Denzel and Leo...   They are contenders in every basketball generation from now till the end of the NBA as long as they are willing to tank for a couple years and create cap space.  No other franchise in sports can sit back, relax, and are assured a winning outcome.  That's disgusting. 

 

Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #21 on: June 29, 2018, 05:44:41 PM »

Offline celticsclay

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Casinos are taking advantage of Lakers fan suckers. They must be seeing a lot of betting on them.

I am not saying there isn't some truth to this, and it isn't really a great line for them, but this stuff is based heavily in reality. Especially on something that is not a prop bet (eg where Lebron plays next season) that generally has a very low max bet because of inside information.

Someone could bet 6 figures on this and they would not want to have bad odds. So people with very inside information are convinced that him returning to Cleveland is dead because the Cavs are currently 52-1 to win the title next year. Where if someone purchased that right now they could sell it back at 4 times the price on a future market the day after Lebron returned.

I'm never going to stake my life to this stuff cause crazy things happen, but this is a stronger indicator than woj and shams and every other insider combined 50 times over.

I think the 52-1 Cleveland line is more telling. That’s wild.
It is almost worth making a small bet at that line.

Moranis if you want me to put 5 bucks on it for you i will.



Screw it moranis i will free roll you for half of it. I placed the 5 dollar bet. If the cavs win the title next year i will give you 130 bucks ( you don't owe me anything). Just for fun with this saga.

Don’t take this the wrong way, but I hope you lose $5.

yeah same. I have been on a pretty good run with my side projects on there, so felt like an ok thing to do.

Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #22 on: June 29, 2018, 05:49:42 PM »

Offline ETNCeltics

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Where are you seeing this? Best odds I see for LAL online are 7/1.

Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #23 on: June 29, 2018, 06:40:06 PM »

Offline mef730

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Casinos are taking advantage of Lakers fan suckers. They must be seeing a lot of betting on them.

I am not saying there isn't some truth to this, and it isn't really a great line for them, but this stuff is based heavily in reality. Especially on something that is not a prop bet (eg where Lebron plays next season) that generally has a very low max bet because of inside information.

Someone could bet 6 figures on this and they would not want to have bad odds. So people with very inside information are convinced that him returning to Cleveland is dead because the Cavs are currently 52-1 to win the title next year. Where if someone purchased that right now they could sell it back at 4 times the price on a future market the day after Lebron returned.

I'm never going to stake my life to this stuff cause crazy things happen, but this is a stronger indicator than woj and shams and every other insider combined 50 times over.

TP. Bolding mine, and you could not be more correct. You could try, but indeed, you'd fail.

Mike

Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #24 on: June 29, 2018, 07:44:20 PM »

Offline celticsclay

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Where are you seeing this? Best odds I see for LAL online are 7/1.

Edit: I will just PM you

Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #25 on: June 29, 2018, 07:48:28 PM »

Offline timpiker

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Casinos are taking advantage of Lakers fan suckers. They must be seeing a lot of betting on them.

I am not saying there isn't some truth to this, and it isn't really a great line for them, but this stuff is based heavily in reality. Especially on something that is not a prop bet (eg where Lebron plays next season) that generally has a very low max bet because of inside information.

Someone could bet 6 figures on this and they would not want to have bad odds. So people with very inside information are convinced that him returning to Cleveland is dead because the Cavs are currently 52-1 to win the title next year. Where if someone purchased that right now they could sell it back at 4 times the price on a future market the day after Lebron returned.

I'm never going to stake my life to this stuff cause crazy things happen, but this is a stronger indicator than woj and shams and every other insider combined 50 times over.

So, could LeBUM or someone very close to him, now put a few million on the Cavs then sign back with the Cavs next week?  That would be apropos.

Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #26 on: June 29, 2018, 08:34:59 PM »

Offline celticsclay

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Casinos are taking advantage of Lakers fan suckers. They must be seeing a lot of betting on them.

I am not saying there isn't some truth to this, and it isn't really a great line for them, but this stuff is based heavily in reality. Especially on something that is not a prop bet (eg where Lebron plays next season) that generally has a very low max bet because of inside information.

Someone could bet 6 figures on this and they would not want to have bad odds. So people with very inside information are convinced that him returning to Cleveland is dead because the Cavs are currently 52-1 to win the title next year. Where if someone purchased that right now they could sell it back at 4 times the price on a future market the day after Lebron returned.

I'm never going to stake my life to this stuff cause crazy things happen, but this is a stronger indicator than woj and shams and every other insider combined 50 times over.

So, could LeBUM or someone very close to him, now put a few million on the Cavs then sign back with the Cavs next week?  That would be apropos.

We are kind of getting into intense stuff with this, but people have lifetime reputations built on this stuff cause there many 10's of millions of dollars involved. So someone with a lifetime of credit and reputation built up shared something with the books in the last few days that made these books feel comfortable moving Cleveland's odds from 18-1 to 52-1. If that information was false someone's career would be ruined, the books would lose a ton of money. I haven't really heard of that kind of thing happening any time recently. Watching line movement is like a glimpse into a secret society. Me and. Pranks can benefit if the info is wrong though

Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #27 on: July 01, 2018, 01:51:14 PM »

Offline Moranis

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Casinos are taking advantage of Lakers fan suckers. They must be seeing a lot of betting on them.

I am not saying there isn't some truth to this, and it isn't really a great line for them, but this stuff is based heavily in reality. Especially on something that is not a prop bet (eg where Lebron plays next season) that generally has a very low max bet because of inside information.

Someone could bet 6 figures on this and they would not want to have bad odds. So people with very inside information are convinced that him returning to Cleveland is dead because the Cavs are currently 52-1 to win the title next year. Where if someone purchased that right now they could sell it back at 4 times the price on a future market the day after Lebron returned.

I'm never going to stake my life to this stuff cause crazy things happen, but this is a stronger indicator than woj and shams and every other insider combined 50 times over.

I think the 52-1 Cleveland line is more telling. That’s wild.
It is almost worth making a small bet at that line.

Moranis if you want me to put 5 bucks on it for you i will.



Screw it moranis i will free roll you for half of it. I placed the 5 dollar bet. If the cavs win the title next year i will give you 130 bucks ( you don't owe me anything). Just for fun with this saga.
that is funny. Sorry I wasn't on much yesterday to respond.  odds I'm sure are a lot different now that George went back to OKC (and that still doesn't mean LeBron won't go there but even then their title chances won't be that good)
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Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #28 on: July 01, 2018, 02:00:02 PM »

Offline Pucaccia

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Thought this is an interesting fact. LA Lakers now 5-1 to win the title next year. Warriors first at 7:5 Celtics 3rd at 6-1. Rockets next at 10-1. Nobody else given a realistic chance at this point.

Is there a way to short this position.  I am not a gambler, but I would love to take the other side of that bet.

Re: Lakers now second best title odds for next season
« Reply #29 on: July 01, 2018, 03:38:31 PM »

Offline Big333223

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Casinos are taking advantage of Lakers fan suckers. They must be seeing a lot of betting on them.

I am not saying there isn't some truth to this, and it isn't really a great line for them, but this stuff is based heavily in reality. Especially on something that is not a prop bet (eg where Lebron plays next season) that generally has a very low max bet because of inside information.

Someone could bet 6 figures on this and they would not want to have bad odds. So people with very inside information are convinced that him returning to Cleveland is dead because the Cavs are currently 52-1 to win the title next year. Where if someone purchased that right now they could sell it back at 4 times the price on a future market the day after Lebron returned.

I'm never going to stake my life to this stuff cause crazy things happen, but this is a stronger indicator than woj and shams and every other insider combined 50 times over.

So, could LeBUM or someone very close to him, now put a few million on the Cavs then sign back with the Cavs next week?  That would be apropos.

We are kind of getting into intense stuff with this, but people have lifetime reputations built on this stuff cause there many 10's of millions of dollars involved. So someone with a lifetime of credit and reputation built up shared something with the books in the last few days that made these books feel comfortable moving Cleveland's odds from 18-1 to 52-1. If that information was false someone's career would be ruined, the books would lose a ton of money. I haven't really heard of that kind of thing happening any time recently. Watching line movement is like a glimpse into a secret society. Me and. Pranks can benefit if the info is wrong though

But the bookmakers set their lines as much on public perception as reality. If the overwhelming perception is that Lebron is definitely going to LA, they would be stupid not to play into that and then when it doesn't happen, they just adjust the odds back to where they were and count all the money they made on people betting on a bad team.
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