Author Topic: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft  (Read 1662 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« on: April 21, 2018, 11:22:47 AM »

Offline Eddie20

  • Don Nelson
  • ********
  • Posts: 8225
  • Tommy Points: 902
With so many potential 1st rd picks next year, perhaps some members will enjoy this. It's interesting that they project us to have the 2nd best record in the league next year, behind only Golden State, while at the same time, they don't project the Memphis pick (top 8 protected) conveying. Also interesting is the last paragraph, which I bolded, that would make this draft a lot better than it's currently projected to be.


Quote
Over the past month, we attended practices, scrimmages and official games featuring the top rising freshmen at the McDonald's All American, Jordan Brand Classic and Nike Hoop Summit events. Starting this weekend, our focus will shift to the 2020 NBA draft and beyond, as we attend the NCAA's first live period of recruiting. This manifests itself with the opening weekend of AAU and the Nike EYBL, Under Armour Association and Adidas Gauntlet sessions in Dallas.

Before that, it's time to update our 2019 mock draft, reflecting everything we learned over the past month, including which players have made themselves eligible for the 2018 NBA draft.

Some players will likely return to school and be reinserted back into the 2019 mock, but for now, we're focused on who is likely to stay. A handful of players who are currently testing the waters but are not projected among the top 50 prospects in our latest Top 100 have also been included in our 2019 mock. We will update as necessary.

The theme of 2019 -- as with most draft classes lately -- is extreme youth. The top 10 projected picks are currently teenagers, with only one -- Daniel Gafford, who surprisingly passed up being a likely top-20 pick in 2018 -- already enrolled in college. Young players, deservedly or not, get the benefit of the doubt in projections of this nature, but they will need to back it up in college, or they will see their stock crash quickly should they not produce as freshmen.

The 2019 crop is considered to be fairly shallow at the moment, with many NBA teams privately expressing frustration about the lack of elite prospects that have emerged, particularly from the graduating high school senior class. While likely more serious of a concern in this instance than in the past, this is not an uncommon refrain at this stage. After all, new prospects emerge suddenly every year seemingly out of the blue, while others improve drastically, which will add much-needed star power and depth to a group that is currently lacking in both departments.

For example, no one was talking about Donovan Mitchell, Luke Kennard, John Collins, Justin Patton or D.J. Wilson in April of 2016, but they all emerged over the course of the next year and became top-20 draft picks in 2017, with Mitchell now a strong contender for Rookie of the Year.

Similar things can be said about Trae Young, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Robert Williams, Zhaire Smith and to a lesser extent Mikal Bridges this year. All were unheralded to varying degrees coming out of high school and have emerged as likely top-20 draft picks in 2018. Sometimes patience is required with young players, who tend to develop at vastly different paces, even into their mid-20s, as we see with All-Stars such as Stephen Curry, Goran Dragic, Kyle Lowry, Draymond Green, Jimmy Butler, Marc Gasol, DeAndre Jordan, Paul Millsap, Isaiah Thomas and countless others.

The supposed weakness of the 2018 high school class certainly opens up the door for sophomores, juniors and seniors to emerge as top-20 draft picks in 2019, in not all that dissimilar a fashion to what we saw in the 2016 draft, in which 11 of the top 21 picks were neither freshmen nor teenagers.

Note that a number of elite high school juniors -- Jalen Lecque, A.J. Lawson, Ashton Hagans, Tyrese Maxey, Cole Anthony, Josh Green, Bryan Antoine, Scottie Lewis, Precious Achiuwa, Charles Bassey and Chol Marial -- are all technically eligible for the 2019 draft from an age standpoint, as they were born in 2000 or earlier. They will also have to graduate from high school sometime before the 2018-19 NBA regular season starts, though, in order to fill that requirement of the NBA age limit, something that could very well happen in some instances. Lecque, Lawson, Hagans and Maxey are all reportedly eyeing reclassifying to the 2018 high school class already, while others (like Marvin Bagley III last year) may be plotting to do the same.


2019 NBA Mock Draft
TEAM   PLAYER   YEAR/LEAGUE   TEAM   HEIGHT   POS.   AGE
1. CHA   R.J. Barrett   HS Sr.   Duke   6'7"   SG   17.8
2. BOS (via SAC)   Nassir Little   HS Sr.   North Carolina   6'6"   SF   18.1
3. ATL   Cam Reddish   HS Sr.   Duke   6'9"   SF   18.6
4. MEM   Sekou Doumbouya   Int.   Poitiers (France)   6'9"   SF/PF   17.3
5. ORL   Romeo Langford   HS Sr.   Undecided   6'6"   SG   18.4
6. PHX   Quentin Grimes   HS Sr.   Kansas   6'5"   SG   17.9
7. NYK   Zion Williamson   HS Sr.   Duke   6'6"   PF   17.7
8. BKN   Daniel Gafford   Fr.   Arkansas   6'11"   C   19.5
9. DAL   Darius Garland   HS Sr.   Vanderbilt   6'0"   PG   18.2
10. DET   Bol Bol   HS Sr.   Oregon   7'2"   C   18.4
11. CHI   De'Andre Hunter   Fr.   Virginia   6'8"   SF/PF   20.3
12. NOP   Keldon Johnson   HS Sr.   Kentucky   6'6"   SG   18.5
13. MIA   Rui Hachimura   So.   Gonzaga   6'8"   PF   20.1
14. ATL (via CLE)   Luka Samanic   Int.   Barcelona 2 (Spain)   6'11"   PF   18.2
15. PHX (via MIL)   Louis King   HS Sr.   Oregon   6'7"   SF/PF   19.0
16. BOS (via LAC)   Herb Jones   Fr.   Alabama   6'7"   SF   19.5
17. WAS   Jalen Smith   HS Sr.   Maryland   6'10"   PF   18.0
18. OKC   PJ Washington   Fr.   Kentucky   6'8"   PF   19.6
19. LAL   Carsen Edwards   So.   Purdue   6'0"   PG   20.1
20. IND   Kevin Huerter   So.   Maryland   6'6"   SG   19.6
21. MIN   Josh Okogie   So.   Georgia Tech   6'4"   SG   19.6
22. POR   Jarrett Culver   Fr.   Texas Tech   6'5"   SG   19.1
23. DEN   Darius Bazley   HS Sr.   G League   6'9"   PF   17.8
24. SAS   Nickeil Alexander-Walker   Fr.   Virginia Tech   6'5"   PG/SG   19.6
25. UTA   Marko Simonovic   Int.   Siena (Italy)   7'0"   PF/C   18.5
26. TOR   Aric Holman   Jr.   Mississippi St.   6'10"   PF   20.7
27. PHI   Isaac Bonga   Int.   Frankfurt (Germany)   6'9"   SF   18.4
28. HOU   Charles Matthews   So.   Michigan   6'6"   SF   21.4
29. BOS   Kris Wilkes   Fr.   UCLA   6'7"   SF/PF   19.5
30. GSW   Shamorie Ponds   So.   St. John's   6'1"   PG   19.8
31. CHA   Terence Davis   Jr.   Mississippi   6'4"   SG   20.9
32. PHI (via SAC)   Lindell Wigginton   Fr.   Iowa St   6'2"   PG   20.0
33. ATL   Jarred Vanderbilt   Fr.   Kentucky   6'8"   SF   19.0
34. MEM   Oshae Brissett   Fr.   Syracuse   6'9"   PF   19.8
35. ORL   Isaiah Roby   So.   Nebraska   6'8"   SF/PF   20.2
36. PHX   Jalen McDaniels   Fr.   San Diego St   6'9"   PF   20.2
37. BKN (via NYK)   Admiral Schofield   Jr.   Tennessee   6'5"   SF/PF   21.0
38. ORL (via BKN)   Kerwin Roach II   Jr.   Texas   6'3"   PG/SG   21.4
39. DAL   Brandon Randolph   Fr.   Arizona   6'6"   SG   20.6
40. DET   John Petty   Fr.   Alabama   6'5"   SG   19.3
41. LAL (via CHI)   Sagaba Konate   So.   West Virginia   6'8"   C   20.5
42. NOP   Xavier Sneed   So.   Kansas St   6'5"   SG   20.3
43. MIN (via MIA)   Goga Bitadze   Int.   Mega Bemax (Serbia)   6'11"   C   18.7
44. SAC (via CLE)   Killian Tillie   So.   Gonzaga   6'10"   PF/C   19.9
45. SAC (via MIL)   James Palmer   Jr.   Nebraska   6'6"   SF   21.7
46. LAC   Quinton Rose   So.   Temple   6'8"   SG   20.2
47. DEN (via WAS)   Markis McDuffie   Jr.   Wichita St   6'8"   SF   20.6
48. OKC   Udoka Azubuike   So.   Kansas   6'11"   C   18.5
49. POR (via LAL)   Matisse Thybulle   Jr.   Washington   6'5"   SG   21.1
50. IND   Shakur Juiston   Jr.   UNLV   6'7"   PF   21.0
51. ATL (via MIN)   Kyle Alexander   Jr.   Tennessee   6'11"   C   21.4
52. LAC (via POR)   Cameron Johnson   Jr.   North Carolina   6'7"   SF   22.1
53. DEN   D'Marcus Simonds   So.   Georgia St   6'3"   PG/SG   20.4
54. SAS   Austin Wiley   So.   Auburn   6'11"   C   19.2
55. UTA   Abdoulaye N'doye   Int.   Cholet (France)   6'7"   PG   20.1
56. TOR   David Okeke   Int.   PMS Torino (Italy)   6'9"   PF   19.5
57. PHI   John Konchar   Jr.   IPFW   6'6"   SG   22.1
58. NYK (via HOU)   Milik Yarbrough   Jr.   Illinois St   6'6"   SG/SF   22.4
59. MEM (via BOS)   Aleksa Radanov   Int.   Red Star (Serbia)   6'8"   SG   20.2
60. DAL (via GSW)   Ethan Happ   Jr.   Wisconsin   6'10"   PF/C   21.9

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2018, 11:45:49 AM »

Offline rondofan1255

  • Bailey Howell
  • **
  • Posts: 2210
  • Tommy Points: 57
Thanks for posting this! I like how opinions differ with Bol Bol (#10) and Zion Williamson (#7), two names which have popped up on this forum this past season as SAC pick candidates.

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #2 on: April 21, 2018, 11:51:01 AM »

Offline matteo

  • Gordon Hayward
  • Posts: 740
  • Tommy Points: 69
unfortunately i expect the knicks to tank below Sac

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2018, 12:13:36 PM »

Offline jambr380

  • Tiny Archibald
  • *******
  • Posts: 7882
  • Tommy Points: 947
I can't imagine a better scenario for the Cs. The SAC pick is protected #1 and it is projected #2 and the LAC pick is lottery protected and it is projected just outside the lottery. I know we don't get the MEM pick in this scenario, but I would personally rather push it off for a year or two; not only because we have so many picks in 2019, but because we would have a better chance of it landing higher (maybe considerably).

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #4 on: April 21, 2018, 12:44:47 PM »

Offline Erik

  • Kyrie Irving
  • Posts: 789
  • Tommy Points: 141
  • The voice of reason
Sac pick probably around 5 and I canít imagine Memphis not conveying with Gasol and Conley back. I was worried that it would be too LOW at like 18th.

Iím hoping that the sac pick is traded for a superstar like we flipped BRK18

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #5 on: April 21, 2018, 12:57:42 PM »

Offline Eddie20

  • Don Nelson
  • ********
  • Posts: 8225
  • Tommy Points: 902
I canít imagine Memphis not conveying with Gasol and Conley back. I was worried that it would be too LOW at like 18th.

I doubt that. This would mean that they would have to make the playoffs and have a better than record than at least 1 of the teams that made the playoffs this year (SA, Minnesota, OKC, etc.) and Denver (who nearly made it). That's a tough proposition for a team that looks destined to lose Evans and Green. As for Conley, I really question if we ever see prime Conley again. He'll be 31 at the start of the year and achilles injuries are a huge deal, especially for a 6'1" player who relied a lot on his quickness and first step.

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #6 on: April 21, 2018, 01:03:22 PM »

Offline gouki88

  • Ray Allen
  • ***
  • Posts: 3909
  • Tommy Points: 92
Bol Bol falling to 10 is really interesting. If that Memphis pick conveys and we can snag Bol that'd be awesome

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #7 on: April 21, 2018, 01:14:09 PM »

Offline BringToughnessBack

  • Jim Loscutoff
  • **
  • Posts: 2935
  • Tommy Points: 381
Can you imagine all of us on draft day and there are only two teams left and we are one of them? 2nd and we celebrate and first, and we are devastated. Exciting and Frightening at the same time.

The HS school card is great for us if we can land a top 5 pick though. I would imagine Danny is already scouting juniors from this past year on tape.

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #8 on: April 21, 2018, 02:02:47 PM »

Offline nickagneta

  • Global Moderator
  • James Naismith
  • *********************************
  • Posts: 33419
  • Tommy Points: 5505
I know Givony is just putting the players in the order he thinks they are based on ability but this order of teams has Boston adding 3 more SFs. Lol. The whole team will be SFs

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #9 on: April 21, 2018, 02:18:27 PM »

Offline CelticsElite

  • NCE
  • Tiny Archibald
  • *******
  • Posts: 7560
  • Tommy Points: 528
Bol Bol falling to 10 is really interesting. If that Memphis pick conveys and we can snag Bol that'd be awesome
our bench is going to be loaded if that pick conveys, if sactown pick is ours and high, and if we also hit a rotation backup with our own 2018 or 2019 pick

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #10 on: April 21, 2018, 02:42:18 PM »

Offline tazzmaniac

  • Antoine Walker
  • ****
  • Posts: 4080
  • Tommy Points: 364
The team projections are more interesting than the prospects. 

This shows 10 Western conference teams making the playoffs.  Is he assuming the owners agree to put the 16 best teams regardless of conference in the playoffs?  That seems very unlikely. 

Charlotte with the worst record.  Must be assuming that Kemba gets traded for garbage.  Even then worst record seems unlikely. 

Kings at #2.  Clearly no adjustment at all for the Kings not having their pick and thus having no reason to tank. 

Memphis at #4.  Seems unlikely with Conley coming back.  Is he projecting a Gasol trade? 

Knicks at #7.  Okay that seems spot on. 

NOP at #12.  10 west teams making the playoffs and NOP isn't one of them.  That seems extremely unlikely now that Davis seems to be accepting playing at center more. 

Atl getting the Cavs pick at #14.  Must be projecting Lebron leaving. 

LAC at #16.  Hard to see them making the playoffs over NOP. 

LAL at #19.  Must not be projecting Lebron to go to them since I'd expect a bigger jump if he did. 

Celtics and Sixers as the 2 best East teams.  Confirms Lebron must be leaving the Cavs and going West. 

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #11 on: April 21, 2018, 03:04:45 PM »

Offline KGs Knee

  • Danny Ainge
  • **********
  • Posts: 10645
  • Tommy Points: 1247
I know Givony is just putting the players in the order he thinks they are based on ability but this order of teams has Boston adding 3 more SFs. Lol. The whole team will be SFs

Yeah, that was the first thing I noticed. I understand this far out he's just projecting BPA, but I find it hard to believe the Celtics would spend another top pick on a SF, let alone 3 picks in the 1st round on SF's.

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #12 on: April 21, 2018, 03:07:21 PM »

Offline Csfan1984

  • Rajon Rondo
  • *****
  • Posts: 5657
  • Tommy Points: 80
With the state of a few teams DA may turn next year's firsts into another big time player. Can't see the tram using so many picks
Mock "trade deadline" team: Blazers.
PG-Lillard, Napier, Baldwin
SG-McCollum, Connaughton, Wilcox
SF-Fournier, Harkless, Layman
PF-Aminu, Davis
C- Nurkic, Leonard, Collins

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #13 on: April 21, 2018, 04:36:23 PM »

Offline chilidawg

  • Bailey Howell
  • **
  • Posts: 2009
  • Tommy Points: 261
The team projections are more interesting than the prospects. 

 Confirms Lebron must be leaving the Cavs and going West.

It's just somewhat informed speculation.  It doesn't confirm anything.

Re: ESPN Givony's 2019 Mock Draft
« Reply #14 on: April 21, 2018, 04:56:08 PM »

Offline GreenEnvy

  • Ray Allen
  • ***
  • Posts: 3250
  • Tommy Points: 900
I know this must be more of a ranking of players but I donít see us drafting three small forwards when we already have like 7 players than can play SF.

Sac better not win the lottery next year.
I AM A CELTIC