Someone posted this article in CB http://www.celticshub.com/2018/04/09/misplacing-trust-process/ - it is one of the few that put things in the right perspective.
We can go on debating the value of picks all we want, but Bernandoni's article brings out another important aspect of strategic tanking that often goes unnoticed, namely that it can't be tolerated for long in a closed league like the NBA.
The part of Philly's tanking that was disturbing to other franchises wasn't so much their trades (although there is something to be said about trading Jrue Holiday for an injured Noel) nor drafting an injured Embiid - despite how absured it is now for the same franchise to claim Embiid's fragile health as an excuse.
Strategic tanking was a defense of egoism at its worse, abusing the letter of the law to get highly valued assets while ignoring your team's obligations to the league, as if Philadelphia itself wasn't part of the NBA and existed in a vaccuum. It was only a question of time for NBA to interfere and ask for Hinkie to be fired teaching them that egoism is a sword that cuts both ways.
the thing is Philly doesn't have the worst season ever, doesn't have the 2 worst consecutive seasons ever, doesn't have the 3 or 4 worst seasons ever either and only finished with the worst record in the league 1 time. This idea that Philly was the worst ever just isn't true. They were bad, but not record setting bad. They weren't the first team to openly tank and aren't the last team to openly tank. The league survives just fine.
What point are you trying to make? I don't see anyone who said the 76ers were the worst team ever. Per their record they were the 3rd worst team ever which was preceded by two seasons of under 20 wins. It may not be the worst 3 year stretch ever but it's close. The Dallas Mavs of 91-93 probably were worse as were one of Sterling's Clippers teams and maybe the expansion Grizzlies but it's tough to find many more cases of teams that were truly horrible. That they're not the "worst ever" isn't really an argument to make in favor of Hinkie. If that's your argument then you've lost the plot.
As I said before, Hinkie's entire game plan was hoping for luck. This doesn't take a genius to figure out nor did it take any imagination. It simply means you play those odds long enough for them to swing in your favor. I find it laughable that anyone thinks this is some sort of brilliant strategy.
would you rather be the Sixers or the Kings? Or maybe you prefer to be the Suns? Perhaps the Magic or Lakers? Maybe the Knicks are more your style?
Playing the odds isn't luck, it is in fact a strategy. Maybe if those 5 teams above were a bit smarter they wouldn't still be so bad and might have a brighter outlook. I mean the Kings haven't made the playoffs in 12 seasons, the Suns have now gone 8 seasons, the Magic are at 6 and counting. Even the Knicks and Lakers are now 5 years in without making the playoffs, which is the exact amount of time the Sixers were out of the playoffs (the Nuggets are 5 years in as well, though they at least just missed the playoffs this year).
Or maybe you'd rather be a franchise like the Hornets that has now gone 15 seasons without reaching the 2nd round of the playoffs and only had 3 1st round losses in that time. Does that seem like a winning strategy? The Pistons have 1 playoff appearance in the last 9 seasons and just 1 winning season in the last 10 seasons. Are they employing a winning strategy?
"Tanking" and "being bad for a long time" aren't the only options. A team with good ownership and good GM can put themselves into a great position without tanking.
Sure a team can get super lucky and find Kawhi Leonard at 15 (of course the Spurs tanked for Duncan - as did Boston which didn't exactly work out). Or a team can find a desperate team tired of losing that acquires past their prime players for unprotected draft picks (thank you Brooklyn - though Boston tried to tank in the Embiid draft also). Or a team can plod along in mediocrity for years (Hawks) or be good but not great (Raptors). Or a team can try to land free agents and fail and then claim they are just bad rather than tanking (Mavericks). Or a team can make a trade using future draft assets that actually pays dividends which then uses cap space and savvy trades to add to it (Rockets). Or a team can take advantage of a cap spike to add to an all world player to a team full of all world players drafted using mostly lottery picks (Warriors). Or a team can lure a home grown free agent home and then use its high draft picks to acquire other all star level players (Cavs).
There are a lots of ways to build a team. They all require luck, but some require far more luck than others. The best way to ensure future success is by acquiring all world talent, and the vast majority of all world talent is drafted in the top 5 picks (that doesn't mean you have to be the one drafting them, but that is where they mostly come from).
The reality is, the Sixers were in a bad spot when Hinkie took over. They had traded some of their own future draft picks, were a mid 30's win team without any franchise altering talent, and no real prospects to acquire said talent. There hasn't been a single person I've asked the following question to, that has come up with a better/faster way to get the Sixers to the point they are now, but maybe you can come up with one. So here it is:
You are Hinkie, you are hired to take over the Sixers following their 34-48 season in 2012-13 season. What do you do to make them the team they are today with an outlook as positive as they have?
1) Draft Steven Adams, Greek Freak or Rudy Gobert over MCW
2) Draft CJ McCollum over Nerlens Noel
3) Draft Porzingis, Myles Turner, Devin Booker or even Rozier over Okafor
So Hinkie could easily have had:
Ben Simmons, CJ McCollum, Devin Booker, Greek Freak, and Embiid
Still a genius?
i think a key point to keep in mind is the worth of the plan versus the ability of the plan's leader. these are not the same.
i understand the plan - super tank, get picks, trade away anyone remotely good for years to get picks, take on toxic salaries in exchange for more picks. the logic is there. but with the plan comes a hideous price. the nba itself is demeaned. the team sucks - really really sucks - for years.
the biggest flaw is that even if done correctly, the odds of creating a championship are small. i do believe it will create a credible, playoff level team, which is what the sixers are now. they are not a championship team and serious questions exist concerning each and every draft pick they still have. the process is anything BUT a sure thing.
but, is this the only, let alone, best way to go? is it worth paying this terrible price for a "okay floor, high but unlikely ceiling"? that is the question moranis poses above. after all, there are many ways to make a team good enough for the playoffs. teams do that each and every year.
we dont have many examples of the process since it is so toxic that the only gm to implement it was fired. not an incentive for anyone to want to repeat it.
next, the plan/process means nothing if the picks dont work out, if the team management are not good. a risky bet to say the least, as the sixers are demonstrating.
so, i can see the attraction of the process. but i think other teams demonstrate a less toxic way of acheiving credibility. as for championships? i dont see the process producing them yet.
but, we have a long time to go to pass final judgement on that.