As others have said, I think the only thing that really matters is avoiding a path with both Cleveland and Toronto.
Toronto and Boston will be 1/2 in some order; that’s pretty much a given at this point. And though Toronto has a fairly tough schedule the rest of the way, I think we’ll prioritize resting down the stretch and be content with the 2 seed.
But Cleveland is in serious danger of dropping to 4 or below, as they’re just starting a 6 game road trip with games against Denver, LAC, and the red-hot Lakers and Trailblazers, let alone remaining games against Milwaukee, Philly, Toronto x 2, Washington, and New Orleans.
Indiana, Washington, and Philly are all within 2 losses of Cleveland and are legitimate threats to pass them up. And given (a) Cleveland’s tough schedule down the stretch, (b) Lebron’s long-standing preference of rest over seeding, and (c) the fact that there’s no real incentive for Cleveland to stay in that 3 spot but only remain at 4 for homecourt advantage in the first round, I definitely see Cleveland dropping to 4 or 5.