It's a shame Leonard has essentially chosen not to come back.
I actually think if Leonard came back, even at like 70-80%, they could give GSW or HOU a run for their money, possibly even beat both en route to a Finals appearance.
Alas, I think we are heading for another CLE-GSW Finals unfortunately. A lot depends on seeding for us, since we could be playing CLE or TOR in the 2nd round, and I don't think that bodes well for us. Even in the West, GSW may play OKC 2nd round, then HOU in the WCF w/o home court advantage.
But I think the odds still favor CLE and GSW getting out again and playing in the Finals. For Houston, Toronto and Boston, it will all come down to execution and who else steps up besides just the known stars.