Author Topic: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax  (Read 2965 times)

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Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #15 on: February 14, 2018, 04:55:53 PM »

Offline Boris Badenov

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Irving is a lazy player for the most part. The reason why i say that is because he can literally get to the rim and finish AT WILL, against ANYONE. Yet, he decides to take contested 3's that he never comes close to making. It's just lazy basketball.

That isn't quite what's happening, actually.

Kyrie is actually shooting at a pretty good percentage on contested shots.  He has shot 39.2% on threes that are "tightly" covered (defender between 2 and 4 ft away) and 30% on "very tight" (defender within 2 ft).  The latter is a very small sample of just 10 shots all season, but 30% is actually good on that kind of shot.  And his 39.2% on tightly contested shots (which are his largest sample) is actually very good.  Most player's efficiency tanks with defenders that close.

Where Kyrie is underperforming is, like a lot of our roster, on "wide open" threes.  That is, on shots that have no defender within 6 ft and definitely NOT "contested".   On those shots, Kyrie is shooting just 34.1%.   That's well-below league average (~40%) for wide-open threes.

Unfortunately, Kyrie is not alone.  Only Jayson (46.8%), Yabusele (45.5%), Horford (44.9%) and Jaylen (40.0%) are shooting league-average or above on wide-open threes.   The rest of the roster are all shooting 36.1% or lower on what should be a much higher-percentage shot.

This is very much counter to what is 'normal'.  Most players tend to shoot much, MUCH better on wide-open threes.  Hence the league average is so much higher on that shot than on threes with tighter coverage.   But other than for the 4 guys I mentioned, not so for the Celtics!

Our bizarre underperformance on these shots (which our offense has actually been very good at generating) and our paucity of attempts at the rim (and poor finishing at the rim) are the two glaring reasons our offense is so bad.

As a team, we rank near the bottom of the league in efficiency at these two shot types.

TP for the research and for injecting some reality into the discussion.

Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #16 on: February 14, 2018, 05:03:07 PM »

Online DefenseWinsChamps

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Irving is a lazy player for the most part. The reason why i say that is because he can literally get to the rim and finish AT WILL, against ANYONE. Yet, he decides to take contested 3's that he never comes close to making. It's just lazy basketball.

That isn't quite what's happening, actually.

Kyrie is actually shooting at a pretty good percentage on contested shots.  He has shot 39.2% on threes that are "tightly" covered (defender between 2 and 4 ft away) and 30% on "very tight" (defender within 2 ft).  The latter is a very small sample of just 10 shots all season, but 30% is actually good on that kind of shot.  And his 39.2% on tightly contested shots (which are his largest sample) is actually very good.  Most player's efficiency tanks with defenders that close.

Where Kyrie is underperforming is, like a lot of our roster, on "wide open" threes.  That is, on shots that have no defender within 6 ft and definitely NOT "contested".   On those shots, Kyrie is shooting just 34.1%.   That's well-below league average (~40%) for wide-open threes.

Unfortunately, Kyrie is not alone.  Only Jayson (46.8%), Yabusele (45.5%), Horford (44.9%) and Jaylen (40.0%) are shooting league-average or above on wide-open threes.   The rest of the roster are all shooting 36.1% or lower on what should be a much higher-percentage shot.

This is very much counter to what is 'normal'.  Most players tend to shoot much, MUCH better on wide-open threes.  Hence the league average is so much higher on that shot than on threes with tighter coverage.   But other than for the 4 guys I mentioned, not so for the Celtics!

Our bizarre underperformance on these shots (which our offense has actually been very good at generating) and our paucity of attempts at the rim (and poor finishing at the rim) are the two glaring reasons our offense is so bad.

As a team, we rank near the bottom of the league in efficiency at these two shot types.

How dare you infuse the conversation with facts!

Great points. I think you could argue that both of the problems you mentioned would be solved if we were hitting our open 3s. Hitting open 3s demands that you close hard on shooters, which opens straight line driving lanes.

Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #17 on: February 14, 2018, 05:20:43 PM »

Offline kozlodoev

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I think some people need to read more carefully. The phrase "a contested 3's that he never comes close to making" doesn't mean he never comes close to making contested threes in general, it means he never comes close to making that particular contested three. Which is true, and it was also true it was a horrible heat-check shot that should never be taken -- and was typically not taken early in the year when (surprise, surprise) our offense was working a lot better.
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Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #18 on: February 14, 2018, 05:31:26 PM »

Online DefenseWinsChamps

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I think some people need to read more carefully. The phrase "a contested 3's that he never comes close to making" doesn't mean he never comes close to making contested threes in general, it means he never comes close to making that particular contested three. Which is true, and it was also true it was a horrible heat-check shot that should never be taken -- and was typically not taken early in the year when (surprise, surprise) our offense was working a lot better.

Based on the stats, how many of those does he really take a game? 1? That's not wrecking our offense. Great players get the right to taking one of those a game.

Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #19 on: February 14, 2018, 05:38:11 PM »

Offline footey

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Irving is a lazy player for the most part. The reason why i say that is because he can literally get to the rim and finish AT WILL, against ANYONE. Yet, he decides to take contested 3's that he never comes close to making. It's just lazy basketball.

That isn't quite what's happening, actually.

Kyrie is actually shooting at a pretty good percentage on contested shots.  He has shot 39.2% on threes that are "tightly" covered (defender between 2 and 4 ft away) and 30% on "very tight" (defender within 2 ft).  The latter is a very small sample of just 10 shots all season, but 30% is actually good on that kind of shot.  And his 39.2% on tightly contested shots (which are his largest sample) is actually very good.  Most player's efficiency tanks with defenders that close.

Where Kyrie is underperforming is, like a lot of our roster, on "wide open" threes.  That is, on shots that have no defender within 6 ft and definitely NOT "contested".   On those shots, Kyrie is shooting just 34.1%.   That's well-below league average (~40%) for wide-open threes.

Unfortunately, Kyrie is not alone.  Only Jayson (46.8%), Yabusele (45.5%), Horford (44.9%) and Jaylen (40.0%) are shooting league-average or above on wide-open threes.   The rest of the roster are all shooting 36.1% or lower on what should be a much higher-percentage shot.

This is very much counter to what is 'normal'.  Most players tend to shoot much, MUCH better on wide-open threes.  Hence the league average is so much higher on that shot than on threes with tighter coverage.   But other than for the 4 guys I mentioned, not so for the Celtics!

Our bizarre underperformance on these shots (which our offense has actually been very good at generating) and our paucity of attempts at the rim (and poor finishing at the rim) are the two glaring reasons our offense is so bad.

As a team, we rank near the bottom of the league in efficiency at these two shot types.

TP, spot on.

Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #20 on: February 14, 2018, 05:55:49 PM »

Offline PhoSita

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I'm sooooooo tired of these "X player is not worth the max" conversations.
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Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #21 on: February 14, 2018, 06:07:34 PM »

Offline mctyson

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Irving is a lazy player for the most part. The reason why i say that is because he can literally get to the rim and finish AT WILL, against ANYONE. Yet, he decides to take contested 3's that he never comes close to making. It's just lazy basketball.

I bet this changes when the playoffs come around.

Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #22 on: February 14, 2018, 06:18:57 PM »

Offline PhoSita

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How long do you suppose Kyrie's body would hold up if he went to the rim every single time he tried to score?
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Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #23 on: February 14, 2018, 07:25:11 PM »

Offline jambr380

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How long do you suppose Kyrie's body would hold up if he went to the rim every single time he tried to score?

I think we found out the answer last year with IT4 - 28 years old.

Besides, I don't know what people are so sour about. We had the ultimate playoff PG All-Star on our team for years in Rondo (no, I am not comparing Kyrie to Rondo). I would rather be a very very good team with the potential to be great in the playoffs than the Cs of the last couple of years who maxed out in the regular season.

Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #24 on: February 14, 2018, 07:40:33 PM »

Offline KGBirdBias

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Kyrie isn't the problem. The problem is Stevens allows his teams to shoot too many 3s. I've watched it for 3 years now. When they're dropping , the offense looks great. When they aren't, you better start moving, cutting, passing and getting easy buckets. The Warriors do this, the Celtics need to learn to do it.

Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #25 on: February 14, 2018, 07:42:53 PM »

Offline CelticsElite

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How long do you suppose Kyrie's body would hold up if he went to the rim every single time he tried to score?

I think we found out the answer last year with IT4 - 28 years old.

Besides, I don't know what people are so sour about. We had the ultimate playoff PG All-Star on our team for years in Rondo (no, I am not comparing Kyrie to Rondo). I would rather be a very very good team with the potential to be great in the playoffs than the Cs of the last couple of years who maxed out in the regular season.
kind of a ridiculous conclusion considering they have different play styles and bodies. Kyrie tried to avoid contact whereas IT hits the Ground and tries to draw a foul each time he goes to the rim . The playstyles are so different and to conclude they both would end at 28 is ridiculous

Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #26 on: February 14, 2018, 07:47:59 PM »

Offline jambr380

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How long do you suppose Kyrie's body would hold up if he went to the rim every single time he tried to score?

I think we found out the answer last year with IT4 - 28 years old.

Besides, I don't know what people are so sour about. We had the ultimate playoff PG All-Star on our team for years in Rondo (no, I am not comparing Kyrie to Rondo). I would rather be a very very good team with the potential to be great in the playoffs than the Cs of the last couple of years who maxed out in the regular season.
kind of a ridiculous conclusion considering they have different play styles and bodies. Kyrie tried to avoid contact whereas IT hits the Ground and tries to draw a foul each time he goes to the rim . The playstyles are so different and to conclude they both would end at 28 is ridiculous

I figured it was obvious I was joking as there is no way to tell when a player's career will take a huge downturn. However, I don't think it is ridiculous to think that if Kyrie went hard to the hoop considerably more often that there would be more opportunity for injury. I do appreciate that Kyrie tries to avoid contact and he isn't a high-flyer as he does have an injury history.

Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #27 on: February 14, 2018, 07:50:16 PM »

Offline knuckleballer

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Of course he is.  There isn't a legitimate argument that he's not worth a max.  It's a forgone conclusion that the Celts will offer him all they can. 

Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #28 on: February 14, 2018, 08:38:26 PM »

Offline tarheelsxxiii

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How long do you suppose Kyrie's body would hold up if he went to the rim every single time he tried to score?

It would benefit him tremendously.  Last week vs. the Pacers: On two possessions he penetrated vs. Cory Joseph, then Myles Turner/Young, and was awarded FTs on both despite literally not being touched.  It was kinda cringeworthy, but I suspect that's how it'd typically go, if he were to penetrate more, with the current hand-checking rules and his brand.
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Re: Kyrie fan but at the moment he is not worth supermax
« Reply #29 on: February 14, 2018, 09:52:01 PM »

Offline flybono

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Kyrie performance so far = B or B+ .  He is playing as advertised, though I thought he could do more...or show something different outside of Lebrons shadow

It will be interesting what happens after next season or even this upcoming offseason (the type of money Smart, Rozier will receive etc) that could determine how much money the Celts will throw at Kyrie in 2020-2021


Another slow day in the basement I see!