I have no faith this Congress will impeach Trump. Heck, I have no faith they will even investigate him. But if the midterm elections go bad for Republicans, a year from now we could be knee deep into the impeachment process.
There's zero chance he'd ever be convicted by the Senate, though. It takes 67 votes there. We'd be looking at a Clinton situation, where he's impeached but continues to serve his term.
To actually be removed from office, there's going to have to be a smoking gun of a serious crime. You would think that an impeached incumbent would be impossible to re-elect, but who knows these days?
There is absolutely a greater than zero chance heíd be removed, Roy. If the Dems take both the House and the Senate, in what should be an easy year for Republicans to pick up Senate seats given the map, Trumpís political capital in that chamber could erode very, very quickly. A Democratic-controlled Senate would have more power over the proceedings, highlighting the worst of the accusations and strongest evidence. They would be more apt to compel witnesses to testify, and punish those who did not cooperate. And, having lost seats in the 2018 mid-terms, Republicans may be willing to toss Trump politically to salvage their chances in 2020. Do they want impeached Trump running on their ticket, or Pence?
It would be a political decision for sure, but there is definitely a possible scenario in which such a decision would seem palpable to Republicans. Mitch McConnell is an incredibly shrewd politician, and controls most of the Republican vote. He also looks out for himself first. If he senses his best way to maintain or return to power is to dump Trump, he wonít hesitate.
Now itís certainly not a guarantee the Dems will take the Senate (the prediction markets have it at a 25-30% chance), but itís also something that canít be written off.
As much as I'd like to agree with you, the Democrats always fold. Always. Their leadership is a complete joke, they have no spine of which to speak, imo, and their approach to, well, anything and everything, I'm afraid, is simply beyond pathetic and weak. When push comes to shove, they just aren't tough, never mind radical, enough.
Seriously, though, the party desperately needs an infusion of new blood that is actually in touch with the concerns and needs of the people of this country, and Feinstein, Pelosi, and Schumer are not, and never were, the answer, in my view. Turn the party over to Warren and Sanders and actually DO SOMETHING, FOR ONCE. *facepalm* Ugh.