Author Topic: Win Projection for Season  (Read 2722 times)

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Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #45 on: October 13, 2017, 02:56:59 PM »

Offline blink

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I am going to go conservative and say 54 wins.  I know our offense has looked great at times, but this was in preseason and we only played Philly and Charl.  I say we do a slow climb with our 2nd half of the season record better than the first as long as we avoid the injuries.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #46 on: October 13, 2017, 03:12:09 PM »

Offline footey

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I'm curious where the people who think the Celts are going to win ~60 think the Celts will rank in Offensive Efficiency and Defensive Efficiency, and what the point differential will be.


Last year, the Celts were 8th in offense and 12th in defense.

They had a point differential of +2.7, which converted to a Simple Rating Score of 2.25, which was 8th best in the league.


The San Antonio Spurs, who won 61 games last year, had a point differential of +7.2, which converted to a Simple Rating Score of +7.13, 2nd best in the league.

The Rockets won 55 games and had a point differential of 5.8, and a SRS of 5.84.  That was 3rd best in the league.


The last time a team in the East won 60+ games was in 2015 when the Hawks won it with a point differential of +5.4, and a SRS of +4.75.

Prior to that, the Heat won 66 games in 2013 with a SRS of 7.03.



Based on all that, if you're saying the Celts are going to win 60, you're saying they're going to at least double, possibly triple their point differential from last year.

You're also saying that the Celts will likely end up in the top 5 in either defensive efficiency or offensive efficiency.


That would be a fairly major leap from last season.

I think they will win 60.

I think they will double their point differential from last season.

I think they will improve both their offensive efficiency and their defensive efficiency. Only set back is losing IT's efficiency, especially at the foul line, given his volume and accuracy there.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #47 on: October 13, 2017, 07:43:52 PM »

Offline yelkao

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Just checked out the schedule, every game looks pretty winnable. I'm refraining from 82-0 and I'll say 68-14.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #48 on: October 13, 2017, 08:36:30 PM »

Offline MJohnnyboy

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58 wins. The east is weaker, the team filled some (not all) of its holes this summer, and the roster is as versatile as it's ever been in the Brad Stevens era.

I wouldn't be surprised if they surpass 58.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #49 on: October 13, 2017, 09:57:34 PM »

Offline max215

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51
Isaiah, you were lightning in a bottle.

DKC Clippers

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #50 on: October 13, 2017, 10:14:02 PM »

Offline tstorey_97

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63 wins

3 minutes to go in the first quarter
Irving has 11 points
Hayward 12
Horford 9

Smart - Rozier - Morris/Tatum come onto court and turn opponent's bench into a wet spot.

Rinse and repeat.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #51 on: October 13, 2017, 11:03:11 PM »

Offline green_bballers13

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53 games, 1st or 2nd. They will have a couple new team chemistry losses.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #52 on: October 13, 2017, 11:53:42 PM »

Offline Greyman

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58

I feel I am being cautious rather than optimistic.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #53 on: October 14, 2017, 01:05:56 PM »

Offline Mr October

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55 wins. The east is week. The offense is going to be humming. And I think the experts are under estimating the Celtics potential on defense. Smart, Brown, Hayward, Morris are very good defenders. Horford, Baynes, Rozier are solid. Irving and Tatum have the physical tools to get there.

The big risk this year is if Horford were to miss significant time. Our bigs depth is thin.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #54 on: October 14, 2017, 01:25:37 PM »

Offline MikeB12

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I think the chemistry will be tough to regain with only 4 returning players...loss of Crowder and Bradley will hurt...Brown and Tatum have to take their places but won't be able to match their defense and offense.

East is weak but I think it will take the C's a lot of time to gel --- 48 wins

MikeB   Celtics fan for 53 years...

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #55 on: October 17, 2017, 09:25:12 PM »

Offline CelticsElite

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Anyone ready to change their answers

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #56 on: October 17, 2017, 09:31:02 PM »

Offline max215

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Post-injury, Iím thinking 44.
Isaiah, you were lightning in a bottle.

DKC Clippers

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #57 on: October 17, 2017, 09:45:28 PM »

Offline rocknrollforyoursoul

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Take whatever your projection was pre-Hayward-injury and subtract, oh, 10.
"There are two kinds of people: those who say to God, 'Thy will be done,' and those to whom God says, 'All right, then, have it your way.'"

"You don't have a soul. You are a Soul. You have a body."

ó C.S. Lewis


Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #58 on: October 17, 2017, 10:12:08 PM »

Offline CelticsElite

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Take whatever your projection was pre-Hayward-injury and subtract, oh, 10.
lol. 72 is still pretty high

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #59 on: October 17, 2017, 10:35:26 PM »

Offline greece666

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 :-\