Author Topic: Win Projection for Season  (Read 1899 times)

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Win Projection for Season
« on: October 12, 2017, 12:16:11 PM »

Offline footey

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I noticed Jeff Clark predicts 50 wins. 

I think that is too low.

I predict 60.  Team chemistry looks great. Bench is stronger than expected. Defense better than expected.  Rebounding better than expected.  Morris's rust will wear off soon, and frankly they will be fine before it does. Hayward struggling to find his identity, but am confident that will happen very soon.

60 is my number.  First in the Eastern Conference.  By several games.

What do you project?




Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2017, 12:26:51 PM »

Offline PhoSita

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The Celts were as good as a 48 win team last season (Expect W/L based on point differential).

They added, on net, probably 4-5 wins worth of talent this off-season.

On the other hand, they have no continuity whatsoever in the starting lineup, unless Smart or Brown is starting beside Horford.

I think the lack of continuity is worth 2-3 wins.

So, 48 + 4.5 - 2.5 = 50


I think you maybe could argue for an extra 2-3 wins because the bottom of the conference is really bad this year, but I feel OK about 50.

Setting aside a very specific win total projection, I feel good about expecting the Celts to finish with about the same number of wins as the Cavs, and for the Wiz or Raps to finish ahead of them.
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Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2017, 12:33:20 PM »

Offline incoherent

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57.  The east is ridiculously worse then last year.

This team is also a lot , LOT better then last year.


Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2017, 12:37:19 PM »

Offline fairweatherfan

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I'm going with 56 wins.

I'm not that worried about the team gelling - if Brad could get the 14-15 team to come together midseason he'll do fine with this bunch. But I am worried about whether or not we'll be able to consistently get up for all the games against crappy East opponents. If we don't have that kind of temperament it'll probably be closer to 50.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2017, 12:40:03 PM »

Online Who

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Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2017, 12:45:41 PM »

Offline jambr380

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I will go with 58. We still have players that need to be integrated into the offense (and defense), but as fwf pointed out, Stevens is among the best at this.

Even if we don't reach that #, I think we are a more formidable opponent to Cleveland in the playoffs; I also love the future of this team.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2017, 12:45:41 PM »

Offline KGs Knee

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I predict 58 wins.

Kyrie, Hayward, and Horford all have high basketball IQ's, and have play styles that mesh well. You have a primary and two secondary ball handlers. All three can shoot the three. In fact, I expect Boston to be one of the best three point shooting teams, along with Golden St and Houston.

We're going to beat up on less talented teams. They may struggle against the elite teams, but I bet they can go roughly .500 against the best of the best. 

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2017, 01:09:32 PM »

Offline footey

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The Celts were as good as a 48 win team last season (Expect W/L based on point differential).

They added, on net, probably 4-5 wins worth of talent this off-season.

On the other hand, they have no continuity whatsoever in the starting lineup, unless Smart or Brown is starting beside Horford.

I think the lack of continuity is worth 2-3 wins.

So, 48 + 4.5 - 2.5 = 50


I think you maybe could argue for an extra 2-3 wins because the bottom of the conference is really bad this year, but I feel OK about 50.

Setting aside a very specific win total projection, I feel good about expecting the Celts to finish with about the same number of wins as the Cavs, and for the Wiz or Raps to finish ahead of them.

Your analysis sounds like the ESPN article that concluded we were 15th in terms of matching up vs. GSW.   I prefer the eye test. This team reminds me of the big 3 team of 2007 during pre-season. They just jelled very quickly. 

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2017, 01:41:59 PM »

Offline RodyTur10

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I also go for 58 wins. That will bring the 1st seed and will compete with Houston for being the 2nd best record after Golden State.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #9 on: October 12, 2017, 02:00:28 PM »

Offline keevsnick

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I agree largely with PhoSita's analysis, but I'm going to be more optimistic and say 53 wins just because I think the talent of our top 3 guys will be enough alone to compensate for the lack of cohesiveness early. It is a good point though that we over performed our point differential last year, that kind of stuff evens out in the long run.

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #10 on: October 12, 2017, 02:03:04 PM »

Offline OHCeltic

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63 wins

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #11 on: October 12, 2017, 02:12:53 PM »

Offline hwangjini_1

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Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #12 on: October 12, 2017, 02:25:45 PM »

Offline Csfan1984

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My Top 5
Trade targets.      Draft.                     FAs
1. Davis              1.Fultz              1. Griffin*
2. Cousins          2. Tatum          2. Hayward
3. Butler              3. Jackson       3. Millsap
4. George            4. Ball               4. Lowry
5. Favors             5. Isaac            5. Gali

Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #13 on: October 12, 2017, 02:33:07 PM »

Online jpotter33

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As long as we stay relatively healthy, 60+.

We already look well on our way to developing chemistry, and in the meantime we have enough raw offensive talent that we'll continue to win games as we gel together as a team.
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Re: Win Projection for Season
« Reply #14 on: October 12, 2017, 03:26:50 PM »

Offline Timdawgg

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62 for me
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