Not much time passed since the strong Fultz/Tatum+pick trade was consumed. When it happened, my first impression was: "We could have both number 1 and 2 pick in the next years draft!" Unprecedented. Never happened before and even better, we could play in the finals this year too. Wow, what a possibility.
But some things happened in the meantime. Draft, free agency, Avery is gone, LBJ will definitely go somewhere else next year, Tatum showed his touch etc. Also, as Kevin O'Conner wrote on Ringer, the market showed clear signs of stabilization. Meaning, in short, that teams will need to have a better cap hygiene. No more drunken millionaires, billionaires in this case. Under those future conditions, the picks IMO, become even more valuable as they are still cheap (not as much as before the new CBA, but still) provide a shot at the next superstar.
If we get the Lakers pick and Brooklyn deliveres once more, both top 5, we will have to incorporate another 2 young guys in the contender. We will already have to juggle Jaylen and Jayson in the meantime, behind Hayward and Crowder as starters. 4 young guys on the contender? I am not so sure about that concept. Even more so as we will certainly be facing the tax when we sign IT (say team friendly 25 mil) and these 2 top picks (say 15 mil together). If you want to be good, you gotta pay. Are we better than GSW by then? Not yet I'm affraid. High picks? None in the immediate future, we become a bit weaker in terms of "trade pounce opportunities".
Consider this. We get the BKN pick top 5 and Lakers give the pick to Philly (projecting 7/8th spot). That way we save 6 to 8 mil capwise and we still have the unprotected Sacramento pick. Our another high value pick (4th year in a row) till possibly the unprotected Memphis (possible 5th high pick in a row) in the 2021 (1-6 in 2020 is not that sexy). I always thought that our, Danny's endgame move is to trade for A. Davis. That is like Amen. If NOLA is to break apart this year and would look at all kinds of moves - great, we have both the high picks and young talent now. Also, Cousins is a free agent. But if they are hanging, clinging on AD hard (I would) for a few more years, we have to be ready for the moment when they finally fail and do trade him. If we get the Lakers pick we are without high picks for two consecutive years.
That is why I steer to the Sacramento pick in the year 2019 and not the 2018 Lakers pick idea. We form a "picking wall" SVG. Even though I would enjoy skinning the rivals and even though that LA part of the pick is more valuable ATM. Postponing the repeater tax (still possible) by another year and being in the best possible position when AD becomes avaliable does it for me. How about you?