Colangelo said that the Celtics have been after the Lakers 2018 pick for A YEAR!!
Wow, they must really love the 2018 draft. That's shocking.
The stupid part is we won't even get the pick. Are people realizing there is about a 30% chance we even get the pick? The odds of a pick being any 4 numbers compared to all other numbers is extremely unlikely....
There was a 25 percent chance the Celtics would get the #1 pick this year. 30 percentage chance at a star? I will take it.
I bet it's higher than 30%. You are talking about the chances of getting any of 4 pick positions, not just the chance of one pick position. As long as the Lakers don't make the playoffs, and also don't have the absolute worst record, I think the chances MUST be much higher. I'm just not smart enough to figure it out.
4 chances, 13 lottery spots (subtracting the #1) = 30.7% 
But I agree that the chances are likely much higher if the Lakers don't get PG. If you drop it down to positions 1-9, that bumps it up to 50%.
It's really going to depend on whether the Lakers end up bottom 5.
Here are our chances of keeping the pick, by lottery slot:
1: 75%
2: 80%
3: 80%
4: 71%
5: 46%
6: 15%
7: 11%
8: 7%
9: 4%
etc.
Based on the current Vegas odds, it looks like the market expects the Lakers to be better than bottom-5. I think this reflects the likelihood of getting George.
In that case, I think we'd have about a 10% chance at the pick, back of the envelope.
These numbers obviously hinge greatly on what happens over the next couple of weeks. We can make a much more informed assessment then.
The Sixers are projected as a better team as well, and it's hard to imagine them getting worse by 2019 (though it's the Sixers, so you never know). Not good.
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