Seems like Tim Legler thinks Jackson is a transformative, flat out stud too.
“There’s no question in my mind he’s going to he’s going to develop into a guy that can consistently make shots, even at the NBA three-point line. Maybe not right away, but down the road, he will do that because he’s that hard of a worker.
“I don’t think there’s anybody that wants it more in this draft to be great than Josh Jackson, and he’s a game-changing player defensively. From day one, you’re better if he’s on the floor, because he’s that competitive defensively.”
Legler compares Jackson’s skill set to that of San Antonio Spurs All-Star Kawhi Leonard. While Leonard didn’t necessarily have a great shot coming out of San Diego State, either -- currently the knock on Jackson – he became a high-percentage mid- and long-range shooter over time.
Jackson not only has the desire to improve and a decent mechanical foundation to work with, but he’s also actually a superior prospect than Leonard was in several other areas.
“He just has that street-fight mentality that the Sixers really need, could use, and he can make shots playing off of Embiid and Simmons, and he’s going to get better as a shooter over the next couple years,” Legler said. “He’s the guy, to me, that is the closest thing that I’ve seen to a Kawhi Leonard-type of player coming into the league because of his two-mentality about the game. He’s not Kawhi offensively now, but if you look at Kawhi offensively his rookie year, you’re going to see a lot of similarities this year, because he’s a phenomenal ball handler and he’s a great passer.
“I’m telling you, Josh Jackson handles the ball and passes the ball right now at a higher level than Kawhi Leonard did coming into the league. There’s no question about it.
Legler missed the part where Leonard has a 7'3" wingspan, came in at 227 pounds (Jackson is 20 lbs lighter with a narrower frame) and did not have any temper and/or legal issues. Kawhi may have a problem with shooting, but he also didn't average below 70% from FT in his two years at SDSU.
Jackson's passing and handles are great assets for a prospect, but I don't know if he can be this elite defender Legler says he can because of his measurables. I'm afraid that once his puts on some pounds, it might slow him down. Doesn't have the elite reach.
Tim Legler also said that Greg Oden, before even playing a game, was the third best center in the NBA, that D'Angelo Russell was going to be a superstar, etc.
Even so, he's still got Fultz as a better prospect.
He said he would go with Fultz, but wouldn't have any issue if the C's would take Jackson instead (this is when we were still picking # 1). That seems to me like there is little to no separation between the prospects, which is what the premise of your thread. Clearly Ainge, along with others, don't believe so. Plus, we have a top pick to boot. You should be happy. It's a good time to be a C's fan.
I thought you couldn't assess draft pick trades until seeing how they play out? I'm confused.
The pick will either be 2-5 next year or unprotected in 2019. It's hard to imagine the Kings improving so much so that the pick ends up any worse than a top 5 pick. Vegas has them as the worst team in the upcoming season, along with Orlando and Brooklyn. So thinking the pick will be in the top 5 in 2019 seems realistic. You said in another thread that you don't judge in a best case scenario, well neither am I. If you think the pick will be better than 5, I'm willing to listen to that counerpoint.
How is this set in stone?
What do you mean? The part you bolded are the conditions of the trade.
2018 Lakers pick is received if it lands 2-5. If it doesn't we receive the Kings unprotected pick in 2019.
I mean how do we know the pick will indeed be around 2-5? How do we know if we are getting the SacTo pick instead, it would be a good one?
I know those are the terms for us to get the pick. I'm asking, what makes it so sure that either picks will be good?
Let's do some math...
LAL are nearly a lock to be a bottom-5 team this year... in which case there would be over 80% chance they end of 2-5 and not #1. So let's say... 60% chance to be safe, leaving a 20% chance they improve AND don't win picks 2 or 3 in the lottery.
SAC is in one of the worst positions for two years from now in the league. Let's say... 70% chance they are picking bottom 5.
So what are the odds we get a top 5 pick based on that? 88%. And if we don't get a top-5 pick, what are the odds Sacramento is a *playoff* team by then? I'd say less than 10%.
Therefore, according to napkin math:
60% chance we get a top-5 pick next year (not #1)
28% chance we get a top-5 pick in 2019
11% chance we get a lottery pick in 2019 (not top-5)
~5% chance we pick #1 overall in 2019
1% chance we pick outside the lottery in 2019
Also, assuming Brooklyn and LA are both lottery teams next year, we've eliminated a "bad" scenario of LA leapfrogging Brooklyn into the #2 or #3 spots, because we own it anyway.