I mean think of it this way, the Lakers play:

Group A.) The Warriors, Spurs, Rockets & Thunder 16 times

Group B.) The Celtics, Cavaliers & Raptors 6 times

Group C.) The Clippers, Grizzlies, Trailblazers, Nuggets, Pelicans & Timberwolves 20 times

Group D.) The Jazz & Mavericks 8 times

Group E.) The Wizards, Bucks, Heat & Hornets 8 times

Group F.) The Knicks & Pistons 4 times

Group G.) The Kings & Suns 8 Times

Group H.) The Bulls, Pacers, Nets, Magic & 76ers 10 times

I think this is a fair prediction of wins per Group for them: A.) 2, B.) 1, C.) 3, D.) 3, E.) 3, F.) 2, G.) 4, H.) 8

That's 26 wins - exactly where they finished this year. Comfortably the 3rd worst odds.