I think Smart was seen as a higher quality prospect than Jaylen Brown is. Like if you check out Chad Ford's yearly "Draft Tier" article, apparently according to scouts/experts Marcus Smart was a "Tier-2" level prospect... meaning a player with all-star potential. Brown is seen as anywhere from Tier-3 (starter potential) or Tier-4 (rotation player potential).
Despite this, guys can always disappoint or exceed expectations. In the case of Smart, he been a major disappointment thus far and hasn't at all lived up to what he was billed as. For two years, he's been nothing more than a defensive role player and offensive albatross. Hopefully Brown goes in the other direction and vastly surpasses what people think he'll be. The fact that he's 19 and shows some raw ability has me really excited to watch him develop. I'm looking forward to seeing what he turns into long-term. I have no expectations in year 1. He's really raw and looks like he's a long way away from contributing.
lol at the tiers. They are so off we might as well talk about pogs
I don't think you understand what the tiers are.
Believe me I do. We have discussed this previously and we when we looked at them from previous drafts they just didn't pan out as accurate and in some cases were completely laughable. Whether he is really polling scouts and executives or just making stuff up as he goes, they have proven to be awful predictors. Larbrd I think you personally could make better guesses than the tier system has ended up putting out.
Looking at them from previous drafts misses the point. I still don't think you understand it.
it is not complicated at all. Coming from a guy that retroactively altered his draft boards to appear smarter I don't even 100% believe he is getting the kind of input he claims to even develop them. Keep posting it by all means and telling other posters they don't understand them though. It's real great material
Clay, in Pokemon Go terms... just because Jaylen is a 2K egg doesn't mean he's automatically going to be Pidgey or Zubat... there's a chance that 2K egg hatches something rare like a Squirtle, Charmander, or Pikachu. On the flip side, just because Smart was a 10K egg doesn't mean he was automatically going to be a Lapras, Snorlax, Chansee, Aerodacyl, Magmar, or Pinsor... there's a chance he ends up a regular ol Eevee. Not every top tier/10K egg ends up a super rare Pokemon... it just means that scouts/experts think it's far more likely.
The point of Ford's yearly article is to find out from Scouts which of the prospects they see as 10K eggs, 5K eggs and 2k eggs. You never REALLY know what they'll end up being, though. You just know that 10K has a much higher chance of being a rare/star. Knowing that some drafts (like 2013) have no 10K eggs is interesting, but it doesn't mean it's impossible for one of those 2K eggs to end up something significant regardless.
So telling me after the fact, "I looked at what the eggs hatched and all the 10k eggs ended up Eevees and a couple of the 2K ended up Charmanders... Charmanders are way better than Eevees so clearly the egg system is broken" misses the point. You've been missing the point for a while.
Smart was actually more of a 5K egg (outside of the 10K tier that Wiggins, Parker and Embiid sat in). I was expecting a Ponyta, but so far it looks like he's going to be a Polywag. He hasn't fully hatched yet, though... we'll see what happens. Brown is a 2K egg... but I'm feelin pretty excited about this one. I have high hopes he'll be a Bulbasaur.