Sully gets a lot of flack from this board but he's still potentially an important piece for us.
Sure, he was great in the playoffs and one can always rely on him to to eat himself out of shape or get injured due to his weight at some point in the season.
Sully is an outstanding defensive rebounder and is solid in the low post
He is a good rebounder but he is not solid in the low post. He is a poor shooter. He shoots better in the low post but even so if you compare his number to other guys he is crappy.
http://vorped.com/1-nba/2015-2016/player/1464/jared-sullinger/shotchart/Amir as one can see is a much better low post option
http://vorped.com/1-nba/2015-2016/player/1020/amir-johnson/Sully gets blocked quite a bit and struggles against length and size because he has no lift.
Sully's numbers are comparable to horford in 23 mpg. Horford plays about 33 mpg on average. Sully is not as well conditioned, but we've also been playing KO and other guys like Jerebko. Horford comes here that won't necessarily be the case. Sully is limited that way or it's just a decision to split minutes that way. With Horford here we either win or lose by him. We had the same record as the Hawks last year. Atlanta actually had Millsap to go with Horford plus teague. We had better guard play but I'm not so sure Horford is this huge upgrade. It would more be to entice Durant. We extended a qualifying offer because there is no guarantee we are going to get Horford or even will make that choice at this point.
Lets compare their shooting them if their numbers are comparable, here they are from last year.
Al Horford shot 51 % FG 34% from 3 Point land .80% from the line.
Sully shot 44% 28% from 3 Point land and .64 % from the line.
http://espn.go.com/nba/player/stats/_/id/3213/al-horfordhttp://espn.go.com/nba/player/stats/_/id/6624/jared-sullingerNot even close, Horford is clearly the better shooter by a lot. So if their other stats are the same you take the better shooter plus Horford is a way better shot blocker. It is one thing to compare their stats, but how could you not compare their shooting in this comparison. That shows lack of insight in what is otherwise decent analysis.
THIS IS A BACKUP PLAN in case we strike out. It is a crappy backup plan though.