I'm On Team Buddy. I know this begs the question; "why not go with Murray, then, who is essentially the same player, but three years younger?"
I don't believe that Jamal Murray is simply a younger version of Buddy Hield. Murray is a really good scorer. You don't score 20 PPG as a freshman for Kentucky in arguably the toughest conference in college basketball without being a fantastic natural scorer.
What I didn't see from Murray, and what I'm not convinced will translate to the next level, is high level athleticism. I think Hield has much more NBA level athleticism. He didn't show it a ton, because he spent so much time raining threes, but there were ample moments where it was clearly on display.
I'm also of the belief that Buddy will keep tightening his handles and continue to improve his driving game at the next level. I know some will counter with; "but, he's already twenty-two. He's done improving."
Sometimes late bloomers come around, and Buddy seems to be one. I am going to hypothesize that growing up in the Virgin Islands slowed his early development more than his continental counterparts (remember another famous Virgin Islander who spent four years in college in the US).
Anyway, by all accounts, his off-the-bounce game was virtually non-existant in his junior year. He added it for his amazing Player of the Year senior campaign. He's going to keep working on it, and he'll probably get more space to show it off on the next level.
Some say he's not an "aim high" prospect. I disagree. I think he's got the highest upside of anyone outside the top two (possibly overall) in this draft.
Just like Bender, Brown, and Murray, Buddy Hield may never reach his ceiling. I think it's worth swinging for the fences on him, though.