Fans and the media are getting way too focused on the 'need a superstar' thing. There's also a strategy you could call the 'incremental upgrade'. That is you upgrade piece by piece as opportunities become available.
The team has good young talent, a newly minted star who's still improving, no bad contracts and lots of picks and flexibility. They only way I mortgage the future is for another proven young star who's just entering his prime. We already have one of those guys in Thomas. He needs help but not necessarily Horford/Howard help that has asterisks attached.
I think both Howard and Horford at this stage in their careers are closer to an incremental upgrade than a superstar.
We shouldn't overpay especially with both being FAs this summer but we have enough assets that by no means do we need to break the bank to get them.
They are both arguably Top 25 players in the league. I'd take either over Carmelo Anthony or Pau Gasol. I'd take Horford over Chris Bosh.
Wow - I wouldn't go that far, but I think this mostly boils down to semantics - a guy who's fringe top 25 in my opinion could maybe be called a star, but not a superstar. Neither are All-Stars this year and both have injury concerns, so I'm not sure I'd put them in the top 25 at the moment either.
They'd be a significant step up for sure, but not nearly to the level of a Durant or Imaginary Ben Simmons (meaning his ceiling as perceived by optimists), which is the kind of guy I think of when we talk about adding a superstar.
it's not like we wouldn't have the opportunity to add Durant and/or Simmons(or whoever we draft) this off-season . We would be much more attractive to free agents with either Horford or Howard already here .
I probably don't give up any of the brk picks
but a package of sully , lee, a few mid 1st rd picks and some 2nds would be a lot better than letting the walk for free if I am Hou or Atl .
It's also MUCH easier, cap-wise to add an additional expensive free agent (such as a Durant) if we acquired Horford _now_ rather than to wait and try to sign him as an UFA in the summer.
The reason is that if we trade for him now, we'd have his Bird Rights. At the end of the season, we could agree with him to pay him up to a max contract (25M) but until we make it official, his cap-hold would only be 18M.
This would leave a lot more room under the cap with which to make an offer to and sign another big expensive free agent (ex., Durant). AFTER you sign the latter, you can then use your Bird Rights to go over the cap with Horford's contract.