Author Topic: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild  (Read 9991 times)

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Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #30 on: November 17, 2015, 10:01:31 PM »

Offline MBunge

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After all this is a thread about the Wolves and their use of veteran mentors.  If you guys really think those players were mentors for KD, James, etc. I have a bridge to sell you.  KD, James, etc. received almost no benefit from guys that were barely playing and were nothing like the skill set of them.

I don't know what to say except that you are contradicted by pretty much the entire history of sports.  The influence of veterans on team culture and younger players is so universally recognized that it's a sports movie cliche.

Mike

Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #31 on: November 17, 2015, 10:02:28 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

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It's looking grim in Philly right now, but we aren't going to know if they failed for a few years.

Nah, we're going to know quicker than that.  At the end of three solid years of tanking, Philly's going to have Noel, Okafor, Embiid, the rights to Saric and probably no one else capable of being a top 8 rotation player on a great team. 
+ what looks like the #1 pick in the draft (Ben Simmons?) + the Lakers pick if it falls outside of the top 3 (or their unprotected 2017 pick)... +  Oklahoma's 1st + Miami's 1st.  + a few other guys who may or may not develop into legitimate rotation players (Stauskas, Wroten, Grant, Marshall)... but just that.   

Click "sim season" for a few years and see what they look like... until then, we don't know if the plan failed. 

And no, LarBrd, you are not just fascinated or intrigued by Philly.

Mike
And yes, Mike, I'm less fascinated or intrigued by Philly than you are fascinated or intrigued by me.
« Last Edit: November 17, 2015, 10:08:13 PM by LarBrd33 »

Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #32 on: November 17, 2015, 10:11:47 PM »

Offline MBunge

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It's looking grim in Philly right now, but we aren't going to know if they failed for a few years.

Nah, we're going to know quicker than that.  At the end of three solid years of tanking, Philly's going to have Noel, Okafor, Embiid, the rights to Saric and probably no one else capable of being a top 8 rotation player on a great team. 
+ what looks like the #1 pick in the draft (Ben Simmons?) + the Lakers pick if it falls outside of the top 3 (or their unprotected 2017 pick)... +  Oklahoma's 1st + Miami's 1st.  + a few other guys who may or may not develop into legitimate rotation players (Stauskas, Wroten, Grant, Marshall)... but just that.   Click "sim season" for a couple years and see what they look like... until then, we don't know if the plan failed.

Even if the finish with the worst record, Philly is most likely NOT going to get the #1 pick.  Math is not that hard.  They also might not get the Lakers pick or it could wind up being 5 or 6.  And adding two more draft picks in the 20s to the D-League scrubs on the roster is not going to make or break anything.

So again, if they don't get that true franchise player in the next draft, we can probably call the Hinkie era a failure.

And here's a hint:  People who are fascinated or intrigued don't incessantly make excuses, defenses and rationalizations.  Only people who are personally invested do that.

Mike

Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #33 on: November 17, 2015, 10:13:25 PM »

Offline MBunge

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It's looking grim in Philly right now, but we aren't going to know if they failed for a few years.

Nah, we're going to know quicker than that.  At the end of three solid years of tanking, Philly's going to have Noel, Okafor, Embiid, the rights to Saric and probably no one else capable of being a top 8 rotation player on a great team. 
+ what looks like the #1 pick in the draft (Ben Simmons?) + the Lakers pick if it falls outside of the top 3 (or their unprotected 2017 pick)... +  Oklahoma's 1st + Miami's 1st.  + a few other guys who may or may not develop into legitimate rotation players (Stauskas, Wroten, Grant, Marshall)... but just that.   

Click "sim season" for a few years and see what they look like... until then, we don't know if the plan failed. 

And no, LarBrd, you are not just fascinated or intrigued by Philly.

Mike
And yes, Mike, I'm less fascinated or intrigued by Philly than you are fascinated or intrigued by me.

People throughout history have been fascinated by freak shows, so please start another thread about the tantalizing potential of Anthony Bennett.

Mike

Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #34 on: November 17, 2015, 10:33:50 PM »

Offline LilRip

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The biggest difference between Philly and Minny is that Philly has a volatile environment while with Minny, you know who your core players are. Boston has been on both sides of the fence, with the Celtics being more like Philly during the Rondo-Green "era" and the Celtics being more like Minny now, with roster stability.

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Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #35 on: November 17, 2015, 10:42:57 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

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It's looking grim in Philly right now, but we aren't going to know if they failed for a few years.

Nah, we're going to know quicker than that.  At the end of three solid years of tanking, Philly's going to have Noel, Okafor, Embiid, the rights to Saric and probably no one else capable of being a top 8 rotation player on a great team. 
+ what looks like the #1 pick in the draft (Ben Simmons?) + the Lakers pick if it falls outside of the top 3 (or their unprotected 2017 pick)... +  Oklahoma's 1st + Miami's 1st.  + a few other guys who may or may not develop into legitimate rotation players (Stauskas, Wroten, Grant, Marshall)... but just that.   Click "sim season" for a couple years and see what they look like... until then, we don't know if the plan failed.


So again, if they don't get that true franchise player in the next draft, we can probably call the Hinkie era a failure.



Say what you want about Noel, Embiid, Saric and the rest... there are plenty of people out there who believe Okafor is already the guy who will develop into their franchise player... And while the possibility of them getting Simmons may be remote (though better than any team in the league at this point), the simple fact remains that we don't know what kind of gobbledygook we are looking at in the 76ers petri dish right now.  It's going to be at least a few years until we know if the Hinkie experiment truly "failed".   I'm not sure having an Andre Miller on their team would make much of a difference right now.   Perhaps next year if they have a full roster of players, they'll fill it out with some veterans.  Dunno.  With Saric staying overseas and Embiid having a bone graft, It's in their best interest to tank again this year. 

Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #36 on: November 17, 2015, 11:06:01 PM »

Online tazzmaniac

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It's looking grim in Philly right now, but we aren't going to know if they failed for a few years.

Nah, we're going to know quicker than that.  At the end of three solid years of tanking, Philly's going to have Noel, Okafor, Embiid, the rights to Saric and probably no one else capable of being a top 8 rotation player on a great team. 
+ what looks like the #1 pick in the draft (Ben Simmons?) + the Lakers pick if it falls outside of the top 3 (or their unprotected 2017 pick)... +  Oklahoma's 1st + Miami's 1st.  + a few other guys who may or may not develop into legitimate rotation players (Stauskas, Wroten, Grant, Marshall)... but just that.   Click "sim season" for a couple years and see what they look like... until then, we don't know if the plan failed.

Even if the finish with the worst record, Philly is most likely NOT going to get the #1 pick.  Math is not that hard.  They also might not get the Lakers pick or it could wind up being 5 or 6.  And adding two more draft picks in the 20s to the D-League scrubs on the roster is not going to make or break anything.

So again, if they don't get that true franchise player in the next draft, we can probably call the Hinkie era a failure.

And here's a hint:  People who are fascinated or intrigued don't incessantly make excuses, defenses and rationalizations.  Only people who are personally invested do that.

Mike
It is the Sixers bashers, like you, that keep bringing them up in posts that aren't about the Sixers or creating new posts on how badly the Sixers are doing.  It seems like there is an inherent need for Hinkies' plan to fail even though it doesn't buy us anything, unlike the Nets. 

There have been plenty of teams that have tanked a single season because of injuries.  There have been plenty of teams that have been perennially bad because their management bumbled around without a plan.  Personally I find Hinkies' plan quite interesting because it is different and the moves Hinkie has made so far are consistent with his plan.  I want to see how it plays out.  I also think the Sixers are better positioned than quite a few teams (e.g. Nets, Lakers, Hornets)

Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #37 on: November 17, 2015, 11:16:02 PM »

Online tazzmaniac

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It's looking grim in Philly right now, but we aren't going to know if they failed for a few years.

Nah, we're going to know quicker than that.  At the end of three solid years of tanking, Philly's going to have Noel, Okafor, Embiid, the rights to Saric and probably no one else capable of being a top 8 rotation player on a great team. 
+ what looks like the #1 pick in the draft (Ben Simmons?) + the Lakers pick if it falls outside of the top 3 (or their unprotected 2017 pick)... +  Oklahoma's 1st + Miami's 1st.  + a few other guys who may or may not develop into legitimate rotation players (Stauskas, Wroten, Grant, Marshall)... but just that.   Click "sim season" for a couple years and see what they look like... until then, we don't know if the plan failed.


So again, if they don't get that true franchise player in the next draft, we can probably call the Hinkie era a failure.



Say what you want about Noel, Embiid, Saric and the rest... there are plenty of people out there who believe Okafor is already the guy who will develop into their franchise player... And while the possibility of them getting Simmons may be remote (though better than any team in the league at this point), the simple fact remains that we don't know what kind of gobbledygook we are looking at in the 76ers petri dish right now.  It's going to be at least a few years until we know if the Hinkie experiment truly "failed".   I'm not sure having an Andre Miller on their team would make much of a difference right now.   Perhaps next year if they have a full roster of players, they'll fill it out with some veterans.  Dunno.  With Saric staying overseas and Embiid having a bone graft, It's in their best interest to tank again this year.
Its funny how the Sixers finishing with the worst record and getting 25% chance at Simmons is downplayed but the Nets doing so is seen as a great asset for us.  The Sixers also have the right to pick swap with the Kings which increases their chance at Simmons assuming the Kings are in the lottery. 

Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #38 on: November 17, 2015, 11:17:44 PM »

Offline wiley

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It's probably a good article but hasn't the idea of having vets to mentor
the younger players been around as long as peach cobbler?

Yes, but -- as the article stated -- having three veterans in such twilight of their careers taking up roster spots was what (theoretically) critics found problematic.

There are veteran players, and there are really, really old players.

In that light I can see it as a little different yes.  In Minny's case I like the approach.  They picked some good last legs guys...

Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #39 on: November 19, 2015, 09:03:19 PM »

Offline Big333223

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I think its so weird that everyone wants to proclaim the Philly situation a failure even though everything is going to plan. Obviously it sucks what's going on with Embiid but the purpose of the extended tanking is so that you can miss on some swings and still come away with a superstar.

Meanwhile, they've got two potential all stars on the roster, one waiting in Europe, and 1-2 top picks coming again this summer and more farther down the line. Why would you give up on this team with that many assetts?
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Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #40 on: November 19, 2015, 09:50:45 PM »

Offline trickybilly

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I think its so weird that everyone wants to proclaim the Philly situation a failure even though everything is going to plan. Obviously it sucks what's going on with Embiid but the purpose of the extended tanking is so that you can miss on some swings and still come away with a superstar.

Meanwhile, they've got two potential all stars on the roster, one waiting in Europe, and 1-2 top picks coming again this summer and more farther down the line. Why would you give up on this team with that many assetts?

They're probably saying it's a failure because, I think, intentional tanking for this long is unprecedented, and it just doesn't look like they will be competitive until at least 2019-2020. That's  at least 7 years down the pooper. That, for some people, is failure in and of itself. Especiallly when you compare what we are doing and what many other teams have done (toronto, atlanta, memphis)...
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Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #41 on: November 20, 2015, 03:24:33 PM »

Offline Big333223

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I think its so weird that everyone wants to proclaim the Philly situation a failure even though everything is going to plan. Obviously it sucks what's going on with Embiid but the purpose of the extended tanking is so that you can miss on some swings and still come away with a superstar.

Meanwhile, they've got two potential all stars on the roster, one waiting in Europe, and 1-2 top picks coming again this summer and more farther down the line. Why would you give up on this team with that many assetts?

They're probably saying it's a failure because, I think, intentional tanking for this long is unprecedented, and it just doesn't look like they will be competitive until at least 2019-2020. That's  at least 7 years down the pooper. That, for some people, is failure in and of itself. Especiallly when you compare what we are doing and what many other teams have done (toronto, atlanta, memphis)...
It's one thing to disagree with that strategy (throwing away 5-7 years) but it's another to call that strategy a failure when its working the way its supposed to, so far.

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Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #42 on: November 20, 2015, 03:32:29 PM »

Offline MBunge

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I think its so weird that everyone wants to proclaim the Philly situation a failure even though everything is going to plan. Obviously it sucks what's going on with Embiid but the purpose of the extended tanking is so that you can miss on some swings and still come away with a superstar.

Meanwhile, they've got two potential all stars on the roster, one waiting in Europe, and 1-2 top picks coming again this summer and more farther down the line. Why would you give up on this team with that many assetts?

They're probably saying it's a failure because, I think, intentional tanking for this long is unprecedented, and it just doesn't look like they will be competitive until at least 2019-2020. That's  at least 7 years down the pooper. That, for some people, is failure in and of itself. Especiallly when you compare what we are doing and what many other teams have done (toronto, atlanta, memphis)...
It's one thing to disagree with that strategy (throwing away 5-7 years) but it's another to call that strategy a failure when its working the way its supposed to, so far.

The failure element comes when you consider that at the end of 3 straight seasons and offseasons of tanking, Philly will essentially have Noel, Okafor, Embiid, the rights to Saric and that's about it.  While the first two look like they might be very good, none of them right now look like legitimate championship franchise players.

If you're going into the fourth year of a strategy and you still don't have the most important piece of the puzzle, that looks a lot like a failure.

Mike

Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #43 on: November 20, 2015, 04:17:57 PM »

Offline Big333223

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I think its so weird that everyone wants to proclaim the Philly situation a failure even though everything is going to plan. Obviously it sucks what's going on with Embiid but the purpose of the extended tanking is so that you can miss on some swings and still come away with a superstar.

Meanwhile, they've got two potential all stars on the roster, one waiting in Europe, and 1-2 top picks coming again this summer and more farther down the line. Why would you give up on this team with that many assetts?

They're probably saying it's a failure because, I think, intentional tanking for this long is unprecedented, and it just doesn't look like they will be competitive until at least 2019-2020. That's  at least 7 years down the pooper. That, for some people, is failure in and of itself. Especiallly when you compare what we are doing and what many other teams have done (toronto, atlanta, memphis)...
It's one thing to disagree with that strategy (throwing away 5-7 years) but it's another to call that strategy a failure when its working the way its supposed to, so far.

The failure element comes when you consider that at the end of 3 straight seasons and offseasons of tanking, Philly will essentially have Noel, Okafor, Embiid, the rights to Saric and that's about it.  While the first two look like they might be very good, none of them right now look like legitimate championship franchise players.

If you're going into the fourth year of a strategy and you still don't have the most important piece of the puzzle, that looks a lot like a failure.

Mike
Again, this is exactly where they're supposed to be in the rebuilding process that Phily has undertaken. They have more assetts than any other team in the league (even the Celtics) and will be adding more. Calling that a failure sounds really shortsighted to me.
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Re: Lowe article on Wolves rebuild
« Reply #44 on: November 20, 2015, 04:32:55 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

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I think its so weird that everyone wants to proclaim the Philly situation a failure even though everything is going to plan. Obviously it sucks what's going on with Embiid but the purpose of the extended tanking is so that you can miss on some swings and still come away with a superstar.

Meanwhile, they've got two potential all stars on the roster, one waiting in Europe, and 1-2 top picks coming again this summer and more farther down the line. Why would you give up on this team with that many assetts?

They're probably saying it's a failure because, I think, intentional tanking for this long is unprecedented, and it just doesn't look like they will be competitive until at least 2019-2020. That's  at least 7 years down the pooper. That, for some people, is failure in and of itself. Especiallly when you compare what we are doing and what many other teams have done (toronto, atlanta, memphis)...
It's one thing to disagree with that strategy (throwing away 5-7 years) but it's another to call that strategy a failure when its working the way its supposed to, so far.

The failure element comes when you consider that at the end of 3 straight seasons and offseasons of tanking, Philly will essentially have Noel, Okafor, Embiid, the rights to Saric and that's about it.  While the first two look like they might be very good, none of them right now look like legitimate championship franchise players.

If you're going into the fourth year of a strategy and you still don't have the most important piece of the puzzle, that looks a lot like a failure.

Mike
Again, this is exactly where they're supposed to be in the rebuilding process that Phily has undertaken. They have more assetts than any other team in the league (even the Celtics) and will be adding more. Calling that a failure sounds really shortsighted to me.
I obviously agree with you and have taken hell for it.  When I look at the moves they have made, I can't say that they have all been "failures" yet. 

They turned Jrue Holiday into Noel and Saric.  Noel has proven to be a good gamble... say what you want about that kid, but defensively he's special.  Saric is still an unknown.   That trade was a win.

They tanked and ended up with Okafor.  This isn't a situation where they tanked and ended up with some undersized shooting guard who shoots 32% and 24% from three... Okafor is averaging 19 points, 8 rebounds, 1.7 blocks with 48% shooting and he's 19 years old...  You have to be slow to say that's a "failure". 

The Embiid situation is a big one.  Would they be better off had they taken Aaron Gordon?  Probably.  Exum ... probably not.  Smart?  I guess.  Vonleh?  Probably not.   People are rooting for his career to be over.  I've seen players return from a bone graft.  It's certainly not going as well as they hoped.  They gambled on him knowing he was going to be out for a year... now he's out for another year.  But we've seen guys like Big Z return from this.  I'd say it's more likely we see him play at some point than not.  Based on his behavior this summer, he likely could have played this year if they had no concerns about his long-term future... and based on reports of how he was playing this summer... he'd make an impact.

Moving MCW for the Lakers pick is controversial.  They get the pick if it falls outside the top 3 this year...   it's unprotected next year.  MCW has some game... but you can't possibly call that move a "failure" until we see what it results in.

They are on track to have the best odds at landing Ben Simmons this year... can't call that a failure until you see what they get with the pick.

Reports continue that Saric has game...  he'll inevitably come over. 

And right now, they have basically no incentive to win.  Are they going to threaten for a title?  Heck no.   They may have been forced to extend the tank another season based on Saric and Embiid, but to call this situation a "failure" at this point is simply calling it too soon.   At some point they will flip the switch and try to be competitive.  Probably next year.

If we're purely talking about assets... Philly is almost unrivaled.  Forget debating about Embiid's trade value right now (I'd still gamble on him for the right price), Between having the rights to Noel, Saric, Okafor, their unprotected 1st, Lakers' 2016/17 1st, Miami's 1st, Oklahoma's 1st... and lots of young players with potential like Stauskas, Wroten, Grant, etc... It wouldn't be hard for a GM to make them competitive.