Author Topic: Is anyone else worried that the Lakers picked up a legitimate beast in Randle?  (Read 7693 times)

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Offline chambers

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I love how a few decent games in preseason means that he's a future all star. Where was this in Smart?

You should know by now there's a double standard here. If it's a C's player shining in preseason, it's meaningless and most likely due to inferior competition. On the other hand, if it's another team's player shining in preseason, it's mostly likely due to transcending talent. It's maddening.


Please quote/highlight when I've put down a C's player shining in preseason?
In fact I was one of the only people here defending the Rozier pick and I've also said I think he's going to be an awesome player relative to the position he was picked. I've said the same about RJ Hunter during summer league along with Rozier- as have most Celticsblog fans actually. Can you point out a trend that suggests anything other than 90% of Celticsblogs fans being incredibly thrilled with our picks this year and their play up to this point?
Can you point out a trend that suggesst 90% of Cetlicsblog isn't thrilled with Marcus Smart's progression and great preseason play? (only 2 games but he's looked really good).
Don't taint an entire thread with some generalization BS- just give credit where it's due.
If you hate LarBrd33 please put down the sniper rifle and keep the chest beating for another thread.

Settle down there, champ. When the name "Chambers" comes out of my mouth regarding something you said, then you can put me on blast.

We all know who I was talking to, because it's an obvious tactic that is used over and over again. I have no problem with LarBrd33, and I don't think he has any problem with me. We just happen to disagree about a lot of things. How am i picking up the "sniper rifle" and "chest beating" by pointing out some obvious flawed reasoning? There is an obvious double standard there that is empirically verifiable, i.e. his tirade that we shouldn't look too much into Celtics' preseason numbers then arguing that Randle has looked excellent in preseason without even mentioning the disclaimer of it being preseason. It's fine if he skews towards skepticism; we just ask that he applies it fairly to other teams as well.

Take a chill pill, brah...


Rondo9
Quote
I love how a few decent games in preseason means that he's a future all star. Where was this in Smart?

jpotter33
Quote
You should know by now there's a double standard here. If it's a C's player shining in preseason, it's meaningless and most likely due to inferior competition. On the other hand, if it's another team's player shining in preseason, it's mostly likely due to transcending talent. It's maddening.

So what part of the thread warranted those generalization responses lol?
It's a freakin thread about Julius Randle playing really well.
Nothing about him being better than Smart.
Some people say they're happy we took Smart which is fine because I am too. I just think it will suck for us if the Lakers picked up a binkie because that's what he looks like so far and I would have preferred if they'd taken someone like Stauskas.

Because, like I said, this wasn't aimed at you or your original post. In response to your original post, LarBrd33 said "Yup.  I was saying the Smart vs Randle debate wasn't over yet and people acted like I was trolling.  Watch the kid... He's legit."

Though I can't necessarily speak for sure for others, I think we were mostly talking about the fact that LarBrd33 isn't making any type of concession for it being preseason for Randle, but when Smart was tearing it up he made sure to try and temper everyone's expectations due to it being preseason. That's what we're talking about with the inconsistency between people's perception of Randle and Smart, not your original post.

I gathered after your first response that it wasn't aimed at me. Thanks for that. My issue is that as soon as LarBrd33 makes a comment about Randle vs Smart which is no where near baiting or inflammatory, we get two replies highlighting how 'ridiculous' the 'double standard' of Celticsblog is.
No stats are required to know that Randle looks great- just like RJ Hunter looks great so far.

You hack away at LarBrd33 for trolling or making controversial statements and when he posts a completely normal reply without any kind of taunt/baiting it becomes a $(%*#@ show.

At the point you guys started flaming LarBrd33 there was really no reason to..hence the sniper comment. He just said something that was completely true and nothing controversial in his first reply to this thread.....
Now the thread has become about Larbrd33 and his double standards when it really didn't need to be and was on no trajectory towards that before or after he replied.
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Read that last line again. One more time.

Offline Forza Juventus

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Randle has broken his right foot (in high school) and broken his right leg (rookie year).

Staying free of major injury will be the biggest factor in whether Randle will be able to reach his potential.


Indeed.

Add to that the fact that he profiles as exactly the sort of player who is going out of style -- the undersized power forward with limited range and a penchant for playing back to the basket -- and you can see why the Celts went with Smart.

Smart is a guard tailor made for the new NBA.  Restricts his shot selection to three pointers and attempts inside, potential as a pick and roll ball handler, can cover positions 1-3, forces turnovers, can rebound well, works well on the ball as well as off the ball.

Randle shot threes in high school he didn't at Kentucky cuz calipari doesn't let bigs shoot 3s
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Offline LarBrd33

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I love how a few decent games in preseason means that he's a future all star. Where was this in Smart?

You should know by now there's a double standard here. If it's a C's player shining in preseason, it's meaningless and most likely due to inferior competition. On the other hand, if it's another team's player shining in preseason, it's mostly likely due to transcending talent. It's maddening.


Please quote/highlight when I've put down a C's player shining in preseason?
In fact I was one of the only people here defending the Rozier pick and I've also said I think he's going to be an awesome player relative to the position he was picked. I've said the same about RJ Hunter during summer league along with Rozier- as have most Celticsblog fans actually. Can you point out a trend that suggests anything other than 90% of Celticsblogs fans being incredibly thrilled with our picks this year and their play up to this point?
Can you point out a trend that suggesst 90% of Cetlicsblog isn't thrilled with Marcus Smart's progression and great preseason play? (only 2 games but he's looked really good).
Don't taint an entire thread with some generalization BS- just give credit where it's due.
If you hate LarBrd33 please put down the sniper rifle and keep the chest beating for another thread.

Settle down there, champ. When the name "Chambers" comes out of my mouth regarding something you said, then you can put me on blast.

We all know who I was talking to, because it's an obvious tactic that is used over and over again. I have no problem with LarBrd33, and I don't think he has any problem with me. We just happen to disagree about a lot of things. How am i picking up the "sniper rifle" and "chest beating" by pointing out some obvious flawed reasoning? There is an obvious double standard there that is empirically verifiable, i.e. his tirade that we shouldn't look too much into Celtics' preseason numbers then arguing that Randle has looked excellent in preseason without even mentioning the disclaimer of it being preseason. It's fine if he skews towards skepticism; we just ask that he applies it fairly to other teams as well.

Take a chill pill, brah...


Rondo9
Quote
I love how a few decent games in preseason means that he's a future all star. Where was this in Smart?

jpotter33
Quote
You should know by now there's a double standard here. If it's a C's player shining in preseason, it's meaningless and most likely due to inferior competition. On the other hand, if it's another team's player shining in preseason, it's mostly likely due to transcending talent. It's maddening.

So what part of the thread warranted those generalization responses lol?
It's a freakin thread about Julius Randle playing really well.
Nothing about him being better than Smart.
Some people say they're happy we took Smart which is fine because I am too. I just think it will suck for us if the Lakers picked up a binkie because that's what he looks like so far and I would have preferred if they'd taken someone like Stauskas.

Because, like I said, this wasn't aimed at you or your original post. In response to your original post, LarBrd33 said "Yup.  I was saying the Smart vs Randle debate wasn't over yet and people acted like I was trolling.  Watch the kid... He's legit."

Though I can't necessarily speak for sure for others, I think we were mostly talking about the fact that LarBrd33 isn't making any type of concession for it being preseason for Randle, but when Smart was tearing it up he made sure to try and temper everyone's expectations due to it being preseason. That's what we're talking about with the inconsistency between people's perception of Randle and Smart, not your original post.

I gathered after your first response that it wasn't aimed at me. Thanks for that. My issue is that as soon as LarBrd33 makes a comment about Randle vs Smart which is no where near baiting or inflammatory, we get two replies highlighting how 'ridiculous' the 'double standard' of Celticsblog is.
No stats are required to know that Randle looks great- just like RJ Hunter looks great so far.

You hack away at LarBrd33 for trolling or making controversial statements and when he posts a completely normal reply without any kind of taunt/baiting it becomes a $(%*#@ show.

At the point you guys started flaming LarBrd33 there was really no reason to..hence the sniper comment. He just said something that was completely true and nothing controversial in his first reply to this thread.....
Now the thread has become about Larbrd33 and his double standards when it really didn't need to be and was on no trajectory towards that before or after he replied.
I bring most of this on myself by being an admitted pessimist.  I end up being a foil in a lot of these threads.

I think part of it is misunderstanding, though.

I believe Nerlens Noel is one of the best young prospects in the league.  I stand by that.  Kid is a star prospect.   If people can't see it, I don't know what they are watching.  Tonight for example he put up 15 points, 11 rebounds, 5 assists, 6 steals and 2 blocks.  He's one of my favorite prospects in the league.  Dude is a defensive monster and I always lean more towards defensive bigs than defensive guards. 

But people lump my adoration of Nerlens Noel in with other names I've tossed around.  I had threads a couple years ago defending Ben McLemore (who looked like an outright bust).  Eventually he showed what I expected him to show.   I had threads this year where I defended Bismack Biyombo, Nik Stauskas and Anthony Bennett.   These weren't me saying, "these kids are superstars... our guys suck".  That was more the general basketball fan in me saying, "I don't think these guys are done.  I think there is untapped potential there.  I'm intrigued still."   Would I have traded Marcus Smart for any of those guys?  Of course not.   Is there a chance they all end up busts?  Of course.  But we have a lot of trade threads here and sometimes I think outside the box.   Those guys are universally dismissed.  It's an unpopular opinion to like anything about them... just like it was an unpopular opinion to like Ben McLemore. 

Well it's the same thing with Randle.   Randle has been widely dismissed.  Some days ago there was a thread comparing the Laker rebuild to Boston's.   I never said I liked Randle more than Smart.  I never declared Randle a better player or a better prospect.  I was more just pointing out the possibility... no matter how remote... that Randle ends up making a debate out of it.   He looked good.  It was way too early to really compare them, but I figured it was worth keeping an eye on it.

Well now 4 solid pre-season games later, he's looked fantastic in all of them and others are coming to the same conclusion (resulting in someone creating this thread)... "Hmm, maybe we dismissed Randle too early".    It's still waaaay too early to compare them.   Smart's obviously winning the polls.   I'm just saying... keep an eye on it.  Randle looks good.  While I'm at it, I'm not ready to dismiss Noah Vonleh either.  Charlotte is one of the two worst-managed teams in the league.  Vonleh was considered a project.   He's got a big opportunity in Portland now.  Who knows... maybe VOnleh makes both the Lakers and Celtics look stupid long-term.   Just something to keep an eye on... I'm certainly not saying this to dump on Smart.

And no, I don't have a double standard.   Smart looked as good in summer league this year as he did in summer league last year.   I saw minimal improvement.  He hasn't had any major performances in pre-season yet.  Actually, nobody is talking about him but of our young players perhaps Rozier has had the best performance yet:  14 points, 4 assists and 2 steals in 16 minutes on the 8th... But since it was against Euros, I didn't really find it worth getting excited about.

Offline Forza Juventus

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The Stauskas trade was a good low risk trade by philly. And I like McLemore too. Portland getting Vonleh was also a good trade.
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Offline crimson_stallion

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The Allen comparison bums out people here, but I'm not the first to have made it.   I think it was Bill Simmons and Zach Lowe.   Allen was never a shooter, but he showed some ability to attack and finish at the rim early in his career.   I really have to hope Smart ends up better than Tony Allen in Allen's prime.   People have pointed out Smart's mediocre three point shooting as a sign of him being a superior offensive player.   Allen was a terrible three point shooter.  In 2007, Allen's per-36 numbers were 17 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 2.2 steals with 51%/24%/78% shooting.   He could score a little.

Personally, the Allen comparison bums me out simply because I think it's a really poor comparison. 

I think it's like comparing Rajon Rondo to Chris Paul, based purely on the facts that both are a similar height and both are great passers.

Or like comparing Marc Gasol to Tyson Chandler because they are both a similar height and both are excellent defenders.

It's irrational.

Tony Allen and Marcus Smart have absolutely nothing at all in common other than the fact that both are around 6'4" and both are exceptional defensive players.  As soon as you step beyond those two factors, they are completely different players in every single respect.

As you said Tony Allen could score - that's true.  As you hinted, all of his offense came at the basket off drives, cuts, dunks or layups.  That's completely different to Marcus Smart, who got the vast majority of his points off three point shots.

Allen couldn't dribble.  I know because I still remember watching those Celtics teams and cringing while I prayed for TA not to dribble the ball off his foot every time he tried to drive.  Tony Allen (as a ball handler) was on Avery Bradley level, at best.  Smart isn't an elite dribbler - he's not good enough at it to give him an advantage over opponents.  But his handle is solid enough that you can trust him to bring the ball up the court under heavy defensive pressure, and not bounce it off his foot.

Allen was completely lacking in play-making ability.  His basketball IQ on the offensive end was poor, his court vision was poor, his passing ability incredibly basic.  As with his ball handling skills, I would has his passing ability was about on Avery Bradley level.  Put him under any kind of defensive pressure and he's just as likely to throw the ball out of bounds as he is to actually get it to a teammate.  Marcus Smart is no CP3, but he has solid court vision, decent basketball IQ, and he has the ability to make solid passes on a consistent bases, and even to wow you occasionally with the odd fancy pass that you didn't see coming. 

This why I say Smart and Allen are completely different players. 

Allen is a guy I categories as a defensive specialist/role-player because for the most part, that's about all he does.  Sure he's capable of scoring, but if you ever have to depend on Tony Allen as your scorer you are in a LOT of trouble.  Like Avery Bradley, you are also in a lot of trouble if you try to ask Tony Allen to run your offense on a regular basis. 

i don't classify Smart as a defensive specialist/role-player because he has a skill set that is versatile enough that you can start him at the PG spot.  While Defense is his greatest strength, he can do plenty of other things too - he can handle the ball, he can hit the open three, he can find the open man, and on occasion he get tot he basket (something I suspect he'll be more effective at this year).


Quote
I think it's more likely that Smart ends up a Rodney Stuckey type.

Who would you rather have... Zach Randolph in his prime or Rodney Stuckey in his prime?  I don't think either Randle or Smart will be perfect.  It will be interesting seeing them develop, though.

I don't see Smart as being much like Rodney Stuckey.  I don't recall Stuckey ever being half the defensive player Smart already is. 

The key word when it comes to Smart's defense is 'dominant'.  Marcus Smart legitimately has the ability to dominate games with his defensive pressure.  He is the type of guy who could walk out of a game having not scored a point, and still get praise for the impact he had. 

This is why I refer to Smart to a mini-Iggy.  Iggy was never an elite scorer (only 14 Points Per 36 for his career) but he could score when needed.  He's not a great shooter, but he can still break an opponents heart with a big clutch three.  He's not a natural passer / ball handler, but he can run your offense if you need him to.  He's got an outstanding motor and outstanding leadership skills (much like Smart) and he can absolute dominate a game with his defense (much like Smart).  Both guys are very strong, physical players who have solid size for their position, and who can play 2-3 positions when called for. 

If you look at Iggy's career Per-36 numbers (14 points, 5.5 reb, 4.7 assists, 1.7 steals, 46% FG, 33% 3PT, 72% FT) then that looks like almost an exact clone of the type of stat-lines I expect Smart to be putting up over his career. On their own those stats look unspectacular, but anybody who has watched Iggy play knows that the impact he has on the game has typically far exceeded what shows up in the box scores mostly because of his hard nosed defense, his outright hustle, and his positional versatility.

Offline tankcity!

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Regardless of how Smart develops from here on out, it's widely acknowledged that he's an elite perimeter defender.  Worst-case scenario he'll end up a Bruce Bowen or Tony Allen type that sticks around the league for years as a defensive specialist.

The problem with an analysis like this is that Marcus Smart is that other than physical size and defensive credentials, Marcus Smart is NOTHING like Tony Allen.

Tony Allen is (and always has been) an awful offensive player.  He was never capable of dribbling a basketball, he could never pass to save his life, and he's never been even the slightest bit threatening outside of about 5 feet as a scorer. 

Even as a rookie, Smart already showed flashes of his potential as a solid passer, ball handler and shooter. 

That's the difference between:
a) A good starter who specialises at defense
b) A good role player who specialises at defense

Unlike many specialist players (like Allen) Smart already has the foundations there to be an 'all round' player.  All he really has to do is to make modest (but consistent) improvements to his shooting, passing and ball handling each year, and that will be enough to ensure he eventually develops into a good starter.

I really think Andre Iguodala (despite playing a different position) is a good comparison.  With the exception of his defense he doesn't do anything at an 'elite' level - he does however do everything 'well', and that's been good enough to make him a borderline All-Star for most of his career.

I can see Smart developing into a similar type of player.

The Allen comparison bums out people here, but I'm not the first to have made it.   I think it was Bill Simmons and Zach Lowe.   Allen was never a shooter, but he showed some ability to attack and finish at the rim early in his career.   I really have to hope Smart ends up better than Tony Allen in Allen's prime.   People have pointed out Smart's mediocre three point shooting as a sign of him being a superior offensive player.   Allen was a terrible three point shooter.  In 2007, Allen's per-36 numbers were 17 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 2.2 steals with 51%/24%/78% shooting.   He could score a little.

I think it's more likely that Smart ends up a Rodney Stuckey type.

Who would you rather have... Zach Randolph in his prime or Rodney Stuckey in his prime?  I don't think either Randle or Smart will be perfect.  It will be interesting seeing them develop, though.

Um, you originally compared him to Tony Allen. So I don't know where the Stuckey comment is coming from. Can you be consistent? Is it too much to ask? I'm sorry, but after all the smart bashing you did in the summer league, I'm going to continue to rag on you for comparing Smart to Allen. I mean it was literally one of the dumbest comments on this board just because they are both completely different players, just like Stuckey and Allen are...

I actually think the Rodney Stuckey comp is reasonable. Randle looks like 18 and 10 at least so I don't see how smart fanatics are getting sensitive on this board. It's pretty clear as day the guy will be able to put up those numbers. Of course he will get smacked around in the playoffs when he plays against good teams because of his limitations, but he's still a good player and he would've brought in more value in a future trade. Yes it stings, so blame Ainge. He could've had Vonleh too who has a chance to be better than both.

Offline LarBrd33

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The Allen comparison bums out people here, but I'm not the first to have made it.   I think it was Bill Simmons and Zach Lowe.   Allen was never a shooter, but he showed some ability to attack and finish at the rim early in his career.   I really have to hope Smart ends up better than Tony Allen in Allen's prime.   People have pointed out Smart's mediocre three point shooting as a sign of him being a superior offensive player.   Allen was a terrible three point shooter.  In 2007, Allen's per-36 numbers were 17 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 2.2 steals with 51%/24%/78% shooting.   He could score a little.

Personally, the Allen comparison bums me out simply because I think it's a really poor comparison. 

I think it's like comparing Rajon Rondo to Chris Paul, based purely on the facts that both are a similar height and both are great passers.

Or like comparing Marc Gasol to Tyson Chandler because they are both a similar height and both are excellent defenders.

It's irrational.

Tony Allen and Marcus Smart have absolutely nothing at all in common other than the fact that both are around 6'4" and both are exceptional defensive players.  As soon as you step beyond those two factors, they are completely different players in every single respect.

As you said Tony Allen could score - that's true.  As you hinted, all of his offense came at the basket off drives, cuts, dunks or layups.  That's completely different to Marcus Smart, who got the vast majority of his points off three point shots.

Allen couldn't dribble.  I know because I still remember watching those Celtics teams and cringing while I prayed for TA not to dribble the ball off his foot every time he tried to drive.  Tony Allen (as a ball handler) was on Avery Bradley level, at best.  Smart isn't an elite dribbler - he's not good enough at it to give him an advantage over opponents.  But his handle is solid enough that you can trust him to bring the ball up the court under heavy defensive pressure, and not bounce it off his foot.

Allen was completely lacking in play-making ability.  His basketball IQ on the offensive end was poor, his court vision was poor, his passing ability incredibly basic.  As with his ball handling skills, I would has his passing ability was about on Avery Bradley level.  Put him under any kind of defensive pressure and he's just as likely to throw the ball out of bounds as he is to actually get it to a teammate.  Marcus Smart is no CP3, but he has solid court vision, decent basketball IQ, and he has the ability to make solid passes on a consistent bases, and even to wow you occasionally with the odd fancy pass that you didn't see coming. 

This why I say Smart and Allen are completely different players. 

Allen is a guy I categories as a defensive specialist/role-player because for the most part, that's about all he does.  Sure he's capable of scoring, but if you ever have to depend on Tony Allen as your scorer you are in a LOT of trouble.  Like Avery Bradley, you are also in a lot of trouble if you try to ask Tony Allen to run your offense on a regular basis. 

i don't classify Smart as a defensive specialist/role-player because he has a skill set that is versatile enough that you can start him at the PG spot.  While Defense is his greatest strength, he can do plenty of other things too - he can handle the ball, he can hit the open three, he can find the open man, and on occasion he get tot he basket (something I suspect he'll be more effective at this year).


Quote
I think it's more likely that Smart ends up a Rodney Stuckey type.

Who would you rather have... Zach Randolph in his prime or Rodney Stuckey in his prime?  I don't think either Randle or Smart will be perfect.  It will be interesting seeing them develop, though.

I don't see Smart as being much like Rodney Stuckey.  I don't recall Stuckey ever being half the defensive player Smart already is. 

The key word when it comes to Smart's defense is 'dominant'.  Marcus Smart legitimately has the ability to dominate games with his defensive pressure.  He is the type of guy who could walk out of a game having not scored a point, and still get praise for the impact he had. 

This is why I refer to Smart to a mini-Iggy.  Iggy was never an elite scorer (only 14 Points Per 36 for his career) but he could score when needed.  He's not a great shooter, but he can still break an opponents heart with a big clutch three.  He's not a natural passer / ball handler, but he can run your offense if you need him to.  He's got an outstanding motor and outstanding leadership skills (much like Smart) and he can absolute dominate a game with his defense (much like Smart).  Both guys are very strong, physical players who have solid size for their position, and who can play 2-3 positions when called for. 

If you look at Iggy's career Per-36 numbers (14 points, 5.5 reb, 4.7 assists, 1.7 steals, 46% FG, 33% 3PT, 72% FT) then that looks like almost an exact clone of the type of stat-lines I expect Smart to be putting up over his career. On their own those stats look unspectacular, but anybody who has watched Iggy play knows that the impact he has on the game has typically far exceeded what shows up in the box scores mostly because of his hard nosed defense, his outright hustle, and his positional versatility.
The comparison is made not because they are extremely similar players... but because Tony Allen has made a nice career out of being an elite defensive guard.  That might be what Smart ends up.... an elite defensive guard ala-Tony Allen.  It's not like their shooting mechanics or move-set is similar...   It's just that Allen is seen as a good example of a 1-way player.   It's different for elite defensive bigs since you can build an entire defense out of an elite defensive big.   An elite defensive guard is helpful, but with limited overall impact... like Tony Allen.

tankcity!, I believe my comment was that right now Smart isn't as good as prime Tony Allen.  I'd take prime Tony Allen over rookie Marcus Smart.   Smart has potential.  Maybe he gets there.  Maybe not.  I'm leaning towards the idea that he will never be an all-star, but might end up as good as prime Rodney Stuckey.   Piston fans thought that kid was going to be a superstar too.  He peaked out as an ok starting guard.

Offline jpotter33

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Chambers -

Obviously you're not happy that your thread took a different direction than you intended. I apologize for my part in that, and this will be my last comment on the matter.

However, thrice now I will be explaining myself when once should have sufficed. You act like your thread exists in a vacuum when you claim that he made uncontroversial remarks regarding the Smart vs. Randle debate that weren't "baiting" or "inflammatory." However, it is most definitely a controversial comment given the context of his firm stance against summer league and preseason being indications of a player's abilities, at least for Celtics players that is.

On more than one occasion, he has tried to temper expectations of Smart and Hunter (and I believe Mickey and Rozier, too, though I'm not positive on that) by claiming that it's merely summer league or preseason, and you can't really gauge these guys off of that. Yet, apparently now things have changed, because you have not heard any of the same reservations about it being merely summer league or preseason in Randle's case.

That is simply confirmation bias, and it's inconsistent and illogical. It's really as simple as that. So, sure, maybe in the context of your thread alone those weren't controversial statements, but since he's previously used different criteria for these summer league and preseason performances in other threads, it is without a doubt a controversial statement.

LarBrd33 -

Come on, dude. Do you really believe you don't employ a double standard when it comes to evaluating C's players versus other team's players? It's one of the worst kept secrets on Celticsblog. I agree with you that it's an ongoing debate that is far from settled, but in addition to not factoring context into the equation, you have two totally different standards of evidence for the two players. You rail against taking anything from summer league or preseason games for C's players, but that's virtually your entire set of evidence for Randle! Good Lord, at least be consistent with your pessimism and employ the same standards of evidence to the players you want to compare.

I mean, as hwang noted earlier, I find it telling that you just consistently evade and ignore these well-reasoned critiques. It's solely because you have no rebuttal to the critique, because the critique is spot on.


Offline LarBrd33

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LarBrd33 -

Come on, dude. Do you really believe you don't employ a double standard when it comes to evaluating C's players versus other team's players?

I think I slant towards negative, but no... I don't think there's a double standard. 

No more so than the double standard everyone on this forum has.

If some 20 year old kid on Toronto put up 7.8 points, 3.1 assists, 3.3 rebounds and 1.5 steals with 36%/33%/64% shooting, I'm pretty sure everyone here would widely dismiss him... if they had even heard of him.  Meanwhile, I'd be posting threads like, "you know, I think it's probably too early to completely dismiss that kid.  He already looks like an elite defender... the offensive game might come around" and I'm pretty sure everyone would call me a troll.    But since that kid plays for the Celtics, ya'll love him and I'm giving him the benefit of the doubt while rightfully tempering my expectations.

Alternatively, if some 20 year old kid on the Celtics just had 5 pre-season averages of 14.2 points, 5.2 rebounds, 3 assists, 1 steal on 59% shooting in 22.6 mpg (per-36 numbers of 22.6 points, 8.2 rebounds and 4.7 assists) after spending much of his college career being called a future superstar and potentially the top prospect in his draft class, I'm pretty sure everyone here would be calling him the next [INSERT RANDOM HALL OF FAMER], and I'd be saying, "It's encouraging, but let's wait and see how he handles in the real games"...  But since that kid plays for teh Lakers, you have people dismissing him outright and me saying, "well it's something to keep an eye on... he looks good". 

I wouldn't define it as a double-standard if I was underwhelmed by the #28 pick averaging 12 points on 30% shooting in summer-league against semi-pros... while at the same time being intrigued by a former top pick seemingly dominating in 5 straight pre-season games.   When we have a worthwhile prospect doing worthwhile things, I'll take note of it.  At no point have I swayed from my stance that Marcus Smart is an elite defensive guard... that's not necessarily a stance that everyone outside of Boston takes yet.  I'm not hating on Marcus Smart.  Outside of Boston, people might even scoff at the Tony Allen comparison... let alone some of these superstar names people easily throw out like Russell Westbrook.

Go back 8 years and you'd see me leading the Big Al charge.  If it seems like there's a pattern of me being underwhelmed by our prospects it's because there's a pattern of us having underwhelming prospects.  Much of that is because we were pretty good for a few years and ended up with mid-to-late picks.  Can't think something is great when it's not.   I know how much some of you loved Obese Davis.  I'm not apologizing for seeing him for the mediocre bum he was.  Marcus Smart is our first prospect with star potential in many years.  I acknowledge that star potential.   If forced, I'd bet against him ever making an all-star team.  Luckily I'm not being forced to bet on it... and I hope I'm wrong.
« Last Edit: October 19, 2015, 01:34:53 AM by LarBrd33 »

Offline crimson_stallion

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Randle looks like 18 and 10 at least so I don't see how smart fanatics are getting sensitive on this board. It's pretty clear as day the guy will be able to put up those numbers.

I don't understand why it's seemingly so clear?

Randle is playing in pre-season right now.  Pre-season is where opposing teams rest their veteran stars with minimal playing time, give extended minutes to their unproven prospects, and experiment with various plays and rotations to see what does/doesn't work. 

Terry Rozier has averaged 25/5/6 Per 36-minutes so far in preseason with ridiculous shooting percentages.  Going off the Julius Randle concept he should be a surefire superstar.

I'm sure the argument people will make here is that Randle put up those stats against NBA teams, but Smart did so against international teams.

Well Randle did play one preseason game against an international team (Haifa Maccabi) and in that game he had Per 36 numbers of 21 points, 13 rebounds and 7.5 turnovers. Not honestly that far above what he averaged against the NBA teams (other than the turnovers, that is).

We will see what happens come regular season time, but I very much doubt Randle puts up 18/10 this year.  Maybe he'll average 16/8 per 36 in his 'rookie year'.  Maybe.

Offline chambers

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Chambers -

Obviously you're not happy that your thread took a different direction than you intended. I apologize for my part in that, and this will be my last comment on the matter.

However, thrice now I will be explaining myself when once should have sufficed. You act like your thread exists in a vacuum when you claim that he made uncontroversial remarks regarding the Smart vs. Randle debate that weren't "baiting" or "inflammatory." However, it is most definitely a controversial comment given the context of his firm stance against summer league and preseason being indications of a player's abilities, at least for Celtics players that is.

On more than one occasion, he has tried to temper expectations of Smart and Hunter (and I believe Mickey and Rozier, too, though I'm not positive on that) by claiming that it's merely summer league or preseason, and you can't really gauge these guys off of that. Yet, apparently now things have changed, because you have not heard any of the same reservations about it being merely summer league or preseason in Randle's case.

That is simply confirmation bias, and it's inconsistent and illogical. It's really as simple as that. So, sure, maybe in the context of your thread alone those weren't controversial statements, but since he's previously used different criteria for these summer league and preseason performances in other threads, it is without a doubt a controversial statement.

LarBrd33 -

Come on, dude. Do you really believe you don't employ a double standard when it comes to evaluating C's players versus other team's players? It's one of the worst kept secrets on Celticsblog. I agree with you that it's an ongoing debate that is far from settled, but in addition to not factoring context into the equation, you have two totally different standards of evidence for the two players. You rail against taking anything from summer league or preseason games for C's players, but that's virtually your entire set of evidence for Randle! Good Lord, at least be consistent with your pessimism and employ the same standards of evidence to the players you want to compare.

I mean, as hwang noted earlier, I find it telling that you just consistently evade and ignore these well-reasoned critiques. It's solely because you have no rebuttal to the critique, because the critique is spot on.

That's fair enough, although I still don't think the original comment 'the Smart vs Randle debate is still up for grabs' was untrue. We're both looking at LarBrd's comments from different perspectives so I can understand where you're coming from.

Really all I wanted was to point out that the %($*! Lakers may have scored a great player which is annoying.

We can leave it at that and I'll respect the side banter between you and Brd.
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Offline Monkhouse

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I actually have hated Randle, but he seems like hes finally bringing some of his game together.
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Can't define how I be dropping these mockeries."

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Offline Celtics18

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Yup.  I was saying the Smart vs Randle debate wasn't over yet and people acted like I was trolling.  Watch the kid... He's legit.

More or less legit than Anthony Bennett?

I honestly don't understand this thread.  Smart has proven far more as an NBA player than Randle.  Could Randle turn out better?  Sure.  James Young could also turn out better than either.

Mike

Randle has looked pretty awesome during pre season. Simple as that.
He was injured last year and he plays for the Lakers.
Why is this turning into a Smart vs Randle competition?

Jesus.

When we say you are "worried" about the guy picked directly after we took Marcus Smart, I think it's only natural to stick up for our own player.

I mean, if you think Marcuz Smart is going to be the real deal, what is there to be worried about?
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Offline apc

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Remember this:

NBA Draft rumors 2014: Julius Randle skips potential 2nd workout with Boston Celtics for meeting with GQ

http://www.masslive.com/celtics/index.ssf/2014/06/nba_draft_rumors_2014_julius_r_1.html

Offline tankcity!

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Randle looks like 18 and 10 at least so I don't see how smart fanatics are getting sensitive on this board. It's pretty clear as day the guy will be able to put up those numbers.

I don't understand why it's seemingly so clear?

Randle is playing in pre-season right now.  Pre-season is where opposing teams rest their veteran stars with minimal playing time, give extended minutes to their unproven prospects, and experiment with various plays and rotations to see what does/doesn't work. 

Terry Rozier has averaged 25/5/6 Per 36-minutes so far in preseason with ridiculous shooting percentages.  Going off the Julius Randle concept he should be a surefire superstar.

I'm sure the argument people will make here is that Randle put up those stats against NBA teams, but Smart did so against international teams.

Well Randle did play one preseason game against an international team (Haifa Maccabi) and in that game he had Per 36 numbers of 21 points, 13 rebounds and 7.5 turnovers. Not honestly that far above what he averaged against the NBA teams (other than the turnovers, that is).

We will see what happens come regular season time, but I very much doubt Randle puts up 18/10 this year.  Maybe he'll average 16/8 per 36 in his 'rookie year'.  Maybe.

You're speaking to the wrong person when it comes to Rozier. I've already made claims him and Hunter have upside, which goes against the pessimism on this board about our rookies. I actually think Rozier has the most offensive potential on this team right now because he can dribble, which is the hardest thing to improve upon in basketball.

Now on to Randle. When did I say he was a superstar? And who the hell said he would do it this year? I said that his potential when he reaches prime. Like re-read my post dude before jumping to conclusions.  Of course you would take my comments to the extreme because you're feeling a bit defensive. He's going to get smacked around in the playoffs, but should put up good stats in the regular season. He's going to get a lot of minutes and he is a good finisher plus rebounder. So his potential is 18 and 10. If you can't see it, then you're just terrible at evaluating players. I don't know what else to tell you. The only thing that can hold Randle back from doing that is injuries. So I guess pray he gets injured, because comparing him to Smart is going to sting for the next decade.