i think there should be a neutral stock. That said, in no particular order, here's my assessment of the East vs. last year:
Rising:
> Celtics - young players improving, esp. Marcus Smart
> Magic - young players improving, esp. Oladipo
> Pacers - Paul George returning
> Bucks - good acquisitions, Jabari returning, young players improving
> Pistons - added shooting and I think they'll be better without Monroe, actually
> Cavs - chemistry should be better with one year under their belt
> Raptors - trying to become more defensive-oriented will help them
Falling:
> Hawks - lost Carroll who was big for them; league will also be more ready for them next year
> Nets - Deron hasn't been a game changer for a long time, but putting all your eggs in the BroLo basket seems like a shaky plan
> Wizards - lost Paul Pierce
Neutral:
> Heat - Bosh returns but Wade will likely never be healthy anymore
> Sixers - still bad
> Bulls - Rose doesn't need to make a 'comeback' because this team is still stacked
> Hornets - good acquisition in Batum, but I don't know if it moves the needle
> Knicks - I don't know if I'm missing something here. Adding RoLo helps, I guess?