Itll take some luck for sure
1-5 you wont get without Smart
11-14 I think you could get just using 16 and 28 or 16 and 2 seconds. If you go back through the last 10 drafts this tends to be the value:to move up from 15-20 to 10-15 costs either a late 1 or 2 2s.
6-10 is where the real prospects lie. Four of Winslow, WCS, Hezonja, Prozingis, Johnson
will be there. Honestly I even like these guys better than the 1-4 group.
Each team has plusses and minuses with trading with us
Sacremento:
+'s
Under pressure to accelerate winning
need starting 4/ 4 that stretches floor (KO & Sully and many stretch 4s available at 16)
Need pg of future Payne, Grant, Jones, Wright could all be available at 16 as well
Already well stocked at wing and C positions ( Mario, WInslow, Johnson, WCS)
-'s
Prozingis hard to pass up
they give up an opportunity at 3-4 guys with star potential
Denver
not happening makes no sense for them from what I can tell
Detroit
+'s
need stretch 4 to play with Drummond (KO/Sully), lots available at 16
-'s
Have huge need at SF (Johnson, Hezonja)trade only happens if both are gone I would think. If they dont like Prozingis and Winslow, Hezonja, Johnson go 5,6,7 (unlikely) this could work
Charlotte(my target)
+'s
AB is good fit
Already have top 10 picks from last 4 drafts at pg, sf, pf, c
MKG and Johnson fairly redundant
Have had 4 straight top 10 picks, perhaps look for vet talent
Looking to move Lance's contract
-'s
If Hezonja drops could be excellent fit
Miami
+'s
If plan is to bring back Wade, Dragic, Deng, Bosh team is very old and very top heavy with no money to add FA's. It may make sense to add a few decent young guys rather than take a big swing at a guy who could fail. If they add 16 and 28 they can get Portis and Dakari Johnson who will certainly play a role at the next level.
AB could be good Wade insurance/would greatly improve youth and bench
Sully/KO could be valuable as Bosh is a question mark
-'s
The 5 I outlined could well be gone by now
If Johnson falls he makes a lot of sense for them
Reilly understands this is a star driven league
Ill do 11-14 quickly
Indiana
+'s
Looking to jump right back to contention
Want different Center/bigs Zeller and KO could be appealing
Pretty old team, like Miami could look to pick up quantity rather than swing for fences(unlikely)
-'s
elite prospects probably gone Turner and Oubre could really bust
Utah
+'s
Looking to make jump from talent collection to competing
Love AB
Sully/KO make some sense as 3rd bigs in Gobert, Favors frontcourt
Have two top 1- picks at pg and sf,pf, c all occupied by good starters. Not really any worthwhile 2s in this draft outside of top 8 picks and Oubre who is a huge project
-'s
studs certainly gone by now, you are taking a risk on Oubre or Turner most likely
Very young team, may not be interested in adding quantity of draft picks
Could be dissatisfied with Exum Burke at pg
Phoenix
+'s
Ainge's friend
Probably cheap(if moving from 16 rather than acquiring to use with 16)
Have PF issue with Morris bros having legal issues (IDK any details on this)
If Morris Bros arent issue, set at PG and PF which are strongest areas here
3 is biggest need and RHJ is probably next best 3 and he wont go untill 20s
-'s
Not moving up real far
Thunder
+'s looking to immediately return to competitive levels
+AB would be tremendous fit
+Probably lose Kanter, could use good frontcourt scorer (Sully+ guys available at 16)
+They wouldnt move down much
+Could be had for probably just a future #2 or 2
-'s
We only move up 2 picks
Only worth it if we could get a guy like Steven Adams in with it
Cheap option, probably would need to sacrifice vet talent
I bolded the 2 best options for us. I think 12 could be had for AB or Sully/KO and either 28 or 33 or both.
I think Charlotte could be something like proposed earlier in Lance and 9 for AB and 28 or AB and 16 but that all depends on how you feel about Lance so thats always going to be a polarizing proposal.