Van Horn was on another level as a college player. He was bigger and stronger than Dekker, and just as athletic (if not more). Much better at taking the ball to the basket.
I mean, Dekker is having a decent year but until recently he was a late first round pick in a decent draft. He might end up going in the 10-15 range though that's nowhere a given.
Van Horn was the #2 pick behind only Duncan in the same draft that yielded Billups, McGrady etc. Injuries slowed him down but he was a 20ppg scorer from his first day in the NBA. If GMs thought Dekker was that good he'd be a lock for the top 5.
Let's not let the projections run too far ahead of reality. It's just setting up for disappointment.
On the flipdside, that draft wasn't very strong. Billups as the #3 is a perfect example of how weak that draft was. This has nothing to do with what he produced at the NBA level, but given his athletic ability and what he actually accomplished in college I don't think there is anyway he gets picked in, say the top 7, of this draft. Mercer was our pick at 6th if memory serves me. If he were in this draft he might not be a lottery pick.
Well, that draft isn't viewed as very strong after the fact because a couple of the top picks (Van Horn, Mercer) had careers shortened by injury. Do you have any evidence that it was viewed as weak at the time?
Van Horn was 1st team All American, ESPN's College Player of the Year and had scored 20+ ppg at the college level for three straight seasons. Every other player who was on that 1st team went in the top 10 of the draft, including Mercer who was also viewed as a very good prospect.
Van Horn was viewed as a possible multiple All-Star selection and franchise cornerstone. Here's the only mock draft I could find online:
Keith Van Horn has great size to be an NBA small forward (6'9", 230 lbs.)
and the rebounding and shot blocking skills to give some time at the 4 spot.
Many have drawn comparisons to Larry Bird. I don't feel he's as talented as
Bird was but he definitely has the potential. His all around game would be a
valuable asset to any team. He has proven in his four years at Utah that he
is a great leader by taking them to the NCAA' tournament four times. I feel
that if Tim Duncan were not in this draft that he would be the first one
selected and even though Duncan is don't look for him to go any lower than 2
or 3
After the Sixers traded his rights (for the #7 pick and other assets):
``You never want to give up a franchise player. When you think a guy is going to be one of the top 10 players in the league, then you want to keep him. Van Horn is probably that, but I think we might have gotten one, too.''
I don't see anyone saying similar things about Dekker, who's not even the best prospect on his own team according to most analysts.