I think that the Griz are going to offer their 2015 1st rounder or Adams, plus Prince, and I think that we are going to take it.
A quick note about the Griz pick- if it falls in the 6-14 range then Cleveland has the rights to it. It doesn't look like that will happen, though, but the actual transaction is going to look pretty weird to account for all of the possibilities.
I am not sure how the 2015 1st rounder could happen.
What the Nuggets (via Cle) have in their pocket is a pick with the following protection.
1-5 and 15-30 in 2015, 1-5 and 15-30 in '16, 1-5 in '17 and 1-5 in 2018; unprotected in 2019
So if I understand correctly, Griz cannot trade any 1st round pick until incl. 2019, unless the pick is transferred to the Cavs earlier.
Thanks for the reminder that it goes to Denver. Could they not trade something like the following to Boston?
1st (1-14 protected) in 2015 -> defers to 1st (1-14 protected) in 2016 -> defers to two 2nd rounders
You are correct, my bad! They can still trade what they own.
The pick would then be ours if it fells between
6-14 in 2015 or if not
6-14 in 2016 or if not
1-5 in 2017 or if not
1-5 in 2018 or if not - defers to two 2nd rounders.
I went back and forth with someone else about this and no, I don't think they can just carve out the pieces they "still own" and trade them, due to the Stepien rule.
The reason: as an example suppose they get the 13th pick this year and move it to us. Because they didn't trade their pick to DEN, they would still owe Denver a 2016 protected pick which violates the rule against trading consecutive picks.
What they could do, I think, is convey to us a pick that comes "two years after the pick is conveyed to DEN." The problem is that with the protection on the DEN pick, this is basically equivalent to sending a 2019 pick.
And for the record they've already traded their 2016 and 2017 second rounders...which are not valuable anyway. They do have their own 2015 2nd rounder and another (low-value) 2015 2nd rounder coming from TOR.