I don't often reply much here anymore, but I lurk and read various posts... This one caught my attention.
I think a very solid comparison to Smart is Chauncey Billups (as was mentioned a few posts ago). When you compare body type and style of play, it's a good way to look at Smart. The one thing NONE of us can know for certain is what kind of potential/ceiling Smart has. But you CAN look at the early trend of his career and begin to see something:
In college, Smart shot 40% & 42% from the field in his 2 seasons at OK St. When you look at his 3-point shooting, it's even worse: .290 & .299.
As a Celtic (in limited games) he's showing the trend to show him for what he is: 34% shooter and .292 from 3-point range.
In college he never averaged 5 assists per game. He was a bull in a China shop who muscled his way to the rim. I'm not sure he'll have that capability in the pros. I honestly think I'd rather have Elfrid Payton on this team instead of Smart, and though I know it's early, I think Danny made a mistake with Smart at that high of a draft choice. The one thing we know right now is that point guards in the NBA are in ABUNDANCE. And it's important to find a PG that can SCORE the basketball. The game is now dominated from the outside in, and not the inside out (as was 20 years ago). I don't know what Danny saw in Smart, but he won't start - at least for the next couple/three years.
He appears to be a heady defender who isn't afraid to stick his nose in anyone's business defensively, but he's a horrible shooter and a lousy floor general.
Another thing that concerns me is his lack of taking care of the basketball. Stevens uses a lot of cross-court passes from the right and left point positions. Smart continually throws weak passes that are getting picked off, putting the opponent in a good position for 2 one 1 or 3 on 2 fastbreak opportunities. A smart pg (pardon the pun) would know better, yet Smart seems to not recognize how careless he is with the ball.
Chauncey Billups' worst problem early in his career was that he shot the ball on the way DOWN after his jump. Instead of getting the ball off at the peak of his leap, he shot it coming down and he was a mess for about the first 5 years of his career. The first three years of his NBA career, Billups shot 37%, 39% and 34%. His 3-point shooting was below those figures. I might be in the minority, but I thought trading him for Kenny Anderson was a wise move for that team. One could second-guess the move (maybe out of simple hatred for Pitino), but Kenny knew how to run a team (though his character might have been a question mark on such a young ball club).
If I'm Danny, I really look at the options out there for a scoring PG. I think Smart is a 3-5 year backup, not a starter. Nelson isn't the answer either, as he's a backup anymore who would fit nicely on a contending team needing reserve help.
I've been watching the NBA closely since 1982, and Smart simply doesn't have the ability to handle what's been thrown at him right now. I'm not sure he'll ever be a good shooter, and I fear that everyone allowed that ONE GAME get them all giddy and over-react.
I miss Rondo. I think Danny made a bad move, but could redeem himself by what he does next (either before this upcoming trade deadline and the offseason). But this team is an utter mess right now, and if the Celtics want stability it will come through finding a PG who can score in this motion offense that Stevens runs. But I don't see Smart being the answer as I'm not sure he'll ever be a shooter or a good floor general. He's a hard-nosed defensive guy that you play in short bursts when you need a spark... But I guess time will tell, and I hope I'm wrong.