Author Topic: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.  (Read 7186 times)

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Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #15 on: December 21, 2014, 02:23:10 PM »

Offline Tr1boy

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The 76ers would even win

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #16 on: December 21, 2014, 02:24:33 PM »

Offline Ogaju

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There are a few angles to think about with this kind of statement.

First, getting drafted does not guarantee anything. Players get drafted and bust or flame out all the time. Very few live up to their hype. It actually is hard to be a long-term NBA player. So in that sense, basically everyone on the Celtics has proven they have a place in the NBA, which is more than most players trying to get into the NBA from college.

Second, most "average" NBA players actually had some draft buzz and were drafted somewhere in a draft. So those players have been in the place that many Kentucky players are now.

Third, there are countless examples of success in college NOT translating to the NBA, so these exercises always overrate college players based on how they look against other kids.

Fourth, these college players are nowhere near their prime.

Fifth, look at the rookie seasons of a lot of very good players...not always that great. And that's after 1 year of growth and a full NBA training camp, so if they jumped straight from college into an NBA game, it'd look even worse than their rookie year stats!


But let's go with it. Let's start with the Celtics, then we'll do the Draft Express Mock for the KU players:
Starting:
PG: Turner
SG: Bradley
SF: Green
PF: Sully
C: Zeller

Bench:
F/C: Olynyk
F: Bass
G: Smart
F/C: Wright
Wing: Craeder
G: Thornton

Then let's look at their stats this year, and their last year of college, as well as their draft position+year.





So by my count, we have players who were good enough in college to be drafted at: 2, 5, 6, 8, 13, 17, 19, 20, 21, 33, 34, 43.


Hopping on over to the draft express mock, I see KU players at:

3, 4, 24, 27, 36, 42

So that's looking a bit less overpowering, since we know none of the Celtics were full "flameouts," but that is still unknown about the KU guys, especially at picks 24+. And that's just 6 players! KU relies on Booker, Lyles, Ulis and Lee as well, who are freshman or sophomores who arent even projected to be drafted this year!

Then take a look at KU's players stats this year, and compare them to the C's from each of their last college year:



Point is, if the current (bad) C's roster all magically were changed to be the same age and were on the same college team, it would be a ridiculous college team. Add to that natural growth, nba coaching, and the fact they've all at least stuck in the NBA and its no contest IMO.

But let's keep going.

KU's roster is impressive this year, no doubt. So let's just look back at the last 4 drafts for the NBA quality equivalent, and look at those players' rookie year (i.e just out of college) PPG/RPG/APG/BPG/SPG just for quick reference:

2011:
Kanter 4.6/4.2/.1/.3/.3
Tristan THompson 8.2/6.5/.5/.5/1.0
Reggie Jackson 3.1/1.2/1.6/.6/0
JaJuan Johnson 3.2/1.6/.2/.1/.4
Jordan Williams 4.6/3.6/.3/.5/.3
Davis Bertans None

2012 (and i'm not wasting time writing out scrub rookie lines now, you get the idea)
Beal 13.9/3.8/2.4/.9/.5
Waiters 13.7/2.4/3/1/.3
Jared Cunningham
Arnett Moultrie
Orlando Johnson
Doron Lamb

2013
Otto Porter 2.0/1.0/1.5
Cody Zeller 6/4.3/1.1/.5/.5
Tim Hardaway 10.2/1.5/.8
Rudy Gobert 2.3/3.4
Ray McCallum
Pierre Jackson

2014:
Embiid
Gordon 5.8/3/.6
Napier 5.7/2.3/1.9
Bogdan Bogdanovic
John Obryant III
Nick Johnson

For fun we can keep going back:
2010
Favors 6.8/5.3
Wes Johnson
Damion James
Jordan Crawford
Terico White
Desean Butler

2009
Harden 9.9/3.2/1.8
Tyrek evans 20.1/5.3/5.8
Byron mullens
Demearre Carrol
Sam Young 7.4/2.5/.7
Patrick Beverly 5.6/2.7/2.9

2008 (actually a good team! but as rookies? Mostly not ready at all.)
Mayo 18.5/3.8/3.2
Westbrook  15.3/4.9/5.3
Ibaka 6.3/5.4/1.3blk
Darrell Arthur 5.6/4.6
Asik 2.8/3.7
Sean Singletary


So that's about what you can expect from those types of picks. It's amazing how not-ready a lot of very good players are their rookie year. Sobering.


Finally lets look back at actual best NCAA teams. National champs, which ones could beat an NBA team as rookies?

'14 connecticut
Shabazz Napier
DeAndre Daniels
Ryan Boatright
Niels Giffey
Lasan Kromah
Amida Brimah
Omar Calhoun
Phillip Nolan
Terrence Samuel

'13 Louisville
Russ Smith
Peyton Siva
Chane Behanan
Gorgui Dieng
Luke Hancock
Wayne Blackshear
Montrezl Harrell
Kevin Ware
Stephan Van Treese
Zach Price

'12 Kentucky
Anthony Davis (13.5/8.2/1 as a rookie NBA)
Doron Lamb
Terrence Jones
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
Marquis Teague
Darius Miller
Kyle Wiltjer
Sam Malone

'11 Uconn
Kemba Walker
Jeremy Lamb
Alex Oriakhi
Shabazz Napier
Roscoe Smith
Jamal Coombs-McDaniel
Charles Okwandu
Niels Giffey
Donnell Beverly
Tyler Olander
Enosch Wolf

'10 Duke
Jon Scheyer
Kyle Singler
Nolan Smith
Brian Zoubek
Miles Plumlee
Lance Thomas
Andre Dawkins
Mason Plumlee
Olek Czyz
Ryan Kelly

'09 UNC
Tyler Hansbrough
Ty Lawson
Wayne Ellington
Danny Green
Deon Thompson
Ed Davis
William Graves
Tyler Zeller
Bobby Frasor
Larry Drew
Marcus Ginyard
J.B. Tanner
Patrick Moody


So really, none of these great college teams had through and through success, let alone as rookies. Even great prospects take at least their rookie year to get acclimated, and that's after a full training camp, let alone stepping in against NBA guys right now. Same thing if you look at the predicted draft slots of the KU guys currently. Just not consistent enough to beat an NBA team, even a bad one, in a 7 game series.

TP for lending full support for my position that UK gets swept by the Cs <period dot). It really is just that simple, but your analysis slams the door shut!!! TP

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #17 on: December 21, 2014, 02:24:35 PM »

Offline danglertx

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So ridiculous.  The difference between UCLA and the Celtics makes the premise of this idea preposterous.  Maybe in 4 years if you get those KU players together and play the Celtics they'd compete but it wouldn't even be close now.  7 ft guys come into the NBA every year and get overwhelmed and overpowered.  How are those 7ft guys going to do against other 7ft guys.  Yeah they might pummel college front lines but that isn't happening in the pros. 

I don't think the Wildcats could compete with the 76ers and the Celtics are much better than the 6ers.

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #18 on: December 21, 2014, 02:28:39 PM »

Offline TheFlex

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pre-rondo trade, no way.  post-rondo trade, I really doubt it.  C's may not have any star players but they do have a load of legit NBA players. 

I could understand the comments that Philly would lose and I wouldn't rule that out but C's beat them handily.

Every player on the 76ers is at least D-League talent and it has multiple players who would be stars at the college level (MCW, Wroten, McDaniels - who I wish we took a flier on - Noel, etc.). Same can't be said for Kentucky.

Plus, all the fancy statistical analysis from Fan from VT. TP.


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Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #19 on: December 21, 2014, 03:18:15 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

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pre-rondo trade, no way.  post-rondo trade, I really doubt it.  C's may not have any star players but they do have a load of legit NBA players. 

I could understand the comments that Philly would lose and I wouldn't rule that out but C's beat them handily.
Lol at the idea that Rondo is the difference between winning or losing to a college team.  Funny.

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #20 on: December 21, 2014, 03:50:01 PM »

Offline Redz

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pre-rondo trade, no way.  post-rondo trade, I really doubt it.  C's may not have any star players but they do have a load of legit NBA players. 

I could understand the comments that Philly would lose and I wouldn't rule that out but C's beat them handily.
Lol at the idea that Rondo is the difference between winning or losing to a college team.  Funny.

Rondo might have felt compelled to go easy on his former college (can you call it an alma mater if you don't graduate?)   ::)
Yup

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #21 on: December 21, 2014, 03:54:14 PM »

Offline csfansince60s

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Lot of residual anger on this board about Rondo trade.

I'm sure that's where this thread assertion is coming from.

Cs in four. Men vs boys.

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #22 on: December 21, 2014, 04:20:20 PM »

Offline Neurotic Guy

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Forget about putting all the most skilled C's on the court, a lineup of Nelson, Wallace, Bass, Green and Wright and we'd be literally talking about men v. boys.  Pure strength and savvy would wipe out youthful speed and exhuberance. 

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #23 on: December 21, 2014, 04:25:06 PM »

Offline LarBrd33

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Forget about putting all the most skilled C's on the court, a lineup of Nelson, Wallace, Bass, Green and Wright and we'd be literally talking about men v. boys.  Pure strength and savvy would wipe out youthful speed and exhuberance.
Our D-League affiliate could probably beat Kentucky.

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #24 on: December 21, 2014, 05:31:07 PM »

Offline mgent

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Kentucky might beat the Celtics in a 7 game series, but they would never win the series.
Philly:

Anderson Varejao    Tiago Splitter    Matt Bonner
David West    Kenyon Martin    Brad Miller
Andre Iguodala    Josh Childress    Marquis Daniels
Dwyane Wade    Leandro Barbosa
Kirk Hinrich    Toney Douglas   + the legendary Kevin McHale

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #25 on: December 21, 2014, 06:09:17 PM »

Offline Kadin

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Hard to believe someone actually posted these thoughts in public like that.

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #26 on: December 21, 2014, 06:17:25 PM »

Offline puskas54_10

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Every threads about an NCAA team beating a professional NBA team is silly and an indictment on the  poster.

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #27 on: December 21, 2014, 06:55:43 PM »

Offline Birdman

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Im a huge UK fan but they couldn't even beat the 76'ers second team...Pro vs college isn't even close
C/PF-Horford, Baynes, Noel, Theis, Morris,
SF/SG- Tatum, Brown, Hayward, Smart, Semi, Clark
PG- Irving, Rozier, Larkin

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #28 on: December 21, 2014, 07:34:23 PM »

Offline 317

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Im a huge UK fan but they couldn't even beat the 76'ers second team...Pro vs college isn't even close

that would be a game i would pay to see. most of the Philly second team shouldn't be in the NBA and Kentucky has ~8 first round picks.

Re: Kentucky would beat Celts in a 7 game series.
« Reply #29 on: December 21, 2014, 07:43:43 PM »

Offline Rondo9

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pre-rondo trade, no way.  post-rondo trade, I really doubt it.  C's may not have any star players but they do have a load of legit NBA players. 

I could understand the comments that Philly would lose and I wouldn't rule that out but C's beat them handily.
Lol at the idea that Rondo is the difference between winning or losing to a college team.  Funny.

The Celtics are that bad.