Pass on Gay, hope Green opts out and let him walk, resign Rondo, deal with the Wallace contract for another year with hopes of moving it in '15-'16 when its an expiring.
Make a splash in summer '16. I know its not what everyone wants to hear.
Hoping Green opts out next year makes no sense when considering your proposal, make a splash in Summer '16.
If your plan is to make a splash in 2016, then it's better to have Green under contract next year. And depending on how much cap space we have, which by my calculations we seem to have plenty even after factoring in Rondo's contract, then it would be good to have Green at 9 million under contract.
So in all, other than we being tight cap wise next year and missing on an opportunity to sign someone because we have Green under contract (in 2015), I can't envision a scenario in which hoping Green opts out next year is of any benefit to us.
Honestly, the more I think about it, it doesn't really matter to me if Green opt out or decides to stay one more year. You can always let him walk after '15-16 too.
Yep, with the side benefit that if all aligns and you actually need/want to retain Green in 2016 we'll be able to do so (if we no longer have cap space due to 2015 moves, no viable target in 2016, etc.)
So the only real risk is the opportunity cost during 2015 free-agency, but I honestly don't think we'll miss out on anyone worth having that would be that much of an upgrade over Green (after our cap space is spent).
I wouldn't shed any tears if he does opt out and the Celtics let him walk after this season. However, if he does come back from one more season, I'm relatively fine with that.
I would, I value Green quite highly particularly when you have cap space to really go after the talent we need to take that next step, which would make Green's contributions, however marginal they may be, that much more important. It would be incredibly short-sighted to let him go just because one doesn't like him or without using that cap space in one legit upgrade.
His skill and size and his ability to match-up with the good SFs of the league (on both sides of the ball) is incredibly important, particularly in a playoff environment.
To me it all comes down to how much to spend on him and the replacement talent (in particular having someone on the team who can match-up with the top SFs of the league, which is not easy to find). And if our cap space is all used up, over-paying for Green is not that much of an issue for me (with the assumption that the cap space was used wisely).