Statistically? Obviously he will pass Bird. However, here is why he will never surpass any of the true greats (Jordan/Magic/Bird) in terms of actual greatness-
He plays against NO competition!
As Dave Chappelle would say "You win by default".
Never in the history of any other major sport has there been a collusion of great players in their prime to create a superteam that would unbalance the league. Well, maybe the Lakers getting Shaq and Kobe, and Karl Malone and Gary Payton, and Dwight Howard
, but none of those players really liked one another, let alone were BFF's with an agenda to rig sports.
Also, I know a lot of people would argue that Jordan benefited from a lack of competition like Lebron did, but Jordan didn't have to collude with Barkley and Olijuwon to form his superteam, he let the G.M take care of that without tampering like the CHeat do.
But, seriously the Heat have no competition.
Lebron is the Pharell of the N.B.A. Let me explain my analogy-
Let's say Lebron is Pharell, so Larry Bird is....Stevie Wonder.
Pharell has talent, but can't make hit music without the aid of others powerful elements- Compilations, samples, and the big one Autotune!- To correct the fact that this world famous "singer" can't even sing! Yet he is the top artist in the world. Music is bad now a days, really bad, and Pharell benefits from that lack of competition.
Lebron has talent, but can't win without the aid of other powerful elements- Superstar team mates, Massive media attention, and the big one....The League handing him an excuse to every hole in his game. Lebron can't dribble, he "never commits fouls" and everything about his game is not clutch. He relies on the contributions of other stars to succeed. I mean please, 38 yr old Ray Allen saves him last year and gets him a ring? What a legend!
Meanwhile, Larry Bird, (Stevie Wonder) will go down as one of the best singer/songwriters of his time, even though he played in an era where there where other great artists doing their thing. (Competition) Also, Stevie Wonder doesn't use Autotune like Lebron/Pharell uses Officiating to fix holes in his game (Autotune). And this is against weak competition!!!!!!!!
Meaning- Bird never really got the "Jordan" or "Lebron" calls from the refs, handing him his victories. Bird played against greater competition than either of them and worked his tail off doing so. Unfortunately, after actually having to work for his victories and dive all over the court etc., his body eventually breaks down, and you're left with the career that is now being "surpassed" by Lebron.