Based on the info we have in hand, the odds are against the 2014 top pick having a better career than Irving. That said, I'm in deep rebuilding mode and I would have to pay Irving in 2015... I might have to overpay him.
So, no. I'd rather have the rook that I don't have to pay until 2017.
That actually doesn't make any sense to me. The bar for having a career better than Irving's is pretty low (I put little emphasis on All-Star appearances after 2003, when they switched to fan voting).
I mean, that's basically what I'm saying. I don't disagree with you that all-star selections are terrible, but... I'm calling Irving an all-star- his bona fides are 2x all star and a ROY.
So yeah- I'm basically saying that the #1 pick will, more likely than not, come up short of 2x all-star and ROY.
But I'm also saying, implicitly I guess, that Kyrie Irving is not a must-have player for me. He's a 22yo 2x all-star, but I don't want him on my team for max money. So yeah- Kyrie Irving is not as good as his resume. We definitely agree on that