Championship and Playoff Experience: The Cavs seem to think this is an advantage for them - and against some teams it might be. But not when facing Orlando. Kobe, of course, has more rings than the entire Cleveland roster.
But in addition, we also have far more players who have made deep playoff runs.
Going along for the ride in the playoffs is not the same as leading the team there. KG's experience in winning is more substantial than any of your players' experience save for Kobe and maybe the always-injured Amar'e.
Perimeter defense: With most of the Cavs' top players up front, it's essential that Ty Lawson play well to create opportunities. Unfortunately, Lawson is known for struggling against longer PGs, and Hill is no exception. Head-to-head with Hill Lawson has only scored 9 pts on 39% shooting with 4 assists. Only twice has Lawson scored 15 or more pts vs Hill.
A lot of these games (the first 5) were when Lawson was not yet starting and played insignificant minutes, likely with the bench mob. After that, you're going off of just three games, in two of which (throwing away one awful game) Lawson actually shot 42%, put up 15 ppg, 7 apg, and 4.5 rpg. Oh, and in one of those games (when Lawson and Hill played 40 minutes each - so there's actual overlap there) Lawson had 5 steals. Who do you think those 5 steals came against?
And don't discount Lawson's ability to show up in the playoffs. 35 and 10 folks.
"Tony Allen, Kobe-stopper" is a myth: In 10 playoff matchups, Kobe has outscored TA 26.4-3, with 7 reb, 4 ast and 2.5 stl. Not exactly getting shut down there. Now, you may be saying "That's not fair! Tony barely played in a lot of those games!" But that's precisely the point. TA didn't play because his defense on Kobe wasn't nearly enough to overcome his offensive deficiencies.
See, you mention "intangibles" in your opener, but then you go off of a bunch of stats that don't paint the whole picture, when the intangibles actually do.
Kobe himself said that Tony Allen played better defense on him than anyone else. In an article I included in my first post, the author explained that Kobe shot 5-14 when Allen was covering him in one particular game and had
seven turnovers. I just don't know how you can ignore these.
And as for Tony not playing because of his offensive deficiencies, he's playing 33 minutes per game.
Interior defense: We already have Hill clamping down on Lawson, but he's coupled with an elite P+R defender on the other end, Omer Asik. Asik will match up with Horford and prevent penetration by Lawson and rolls to the basket by Al, forcing him into lower percentage midrange jump shots. Al will also have tremendous trouble posting against the bigger Asik, one of the stoutest post defenders in the league. KG is no longer a pick and roll threat, or much of a post guy, and Millsap is mobile enough to challenge the occasional pick and pop action, and force KG to do his work in the post. Already stymied on the perimeter, Cleveland will have trouble feeding its talented bigs as well.
As much as I respect Asik, he doesn't have the quickness to keep up with Horford, who can score from nearly anywhere on the floor. And as for KG, if Asik's height is a plus over Horford, then KG's is a plus over Millsap. And KG will continue to do what he's done these last few years, just shoot over the guy or play in the PnR, both of which he can still do excellently.
As Roy and nick have already said, the Cavs just have the upper hand here, largely due to our "intangibles", which you mentioned as your strong suit.
Also, and I should have said this before anything else, if you can make it hard to score for us, we can make it harder to score for you. When we shut down Amar'e and Millsap and slow down Kobe, who brings the points? If you say Jarrett Jack, well Tony will guard him if Kobe's off the floor, and if both are on the floor then Wallace will pick up Kobe.