Kane3387
Bailey Howell   
Tommy Points: 428
OfflinePosts: 4532
Intensity!!!
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« Reply #15 on: January 23, 2013, 04:50:49 PM » |
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In what year are we talking?
If KG and Pierce retired next year, I'd say that starting lineup gets us firmly into the lottery.
Retire before next year or after?
I was thinking if you threw those five guys on the floor next year, with neither KG nor Pierce. That would be ugly.
Lottery team. I agree.
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Duuuude whaaaat is up with yo shorts?...  Bird, Issel, Lever, Dawkins, Free, Ainge, Lucas, Drew, Woolridge, Bailey, Donaldson, Kupchak Coach: Heinsohn
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BballTim
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« Reply #16 on: January 23, 2013, 04:55:16 PM » |
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In what year are we talking?
If KG and Pierce retired next year, I'd say that starting lineup gets us firmly into the lottery.
Retire before next year or after?
I was thinking if you threw those five guys on the floor next year, with neither KG nor Pierce. That would be ugly.
The problem with that lineup is Melo, I could easily see Rondo/Bradley/Sully as average or better, and Green wouldn't be a terrible 4th best starter.
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ScoobyDoo
Bill Walton 
Tommy Points: 375
OfflinePosts: 2044
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« Reply #17 on: January 23, 2013, 04:59:51 PM » |
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I really like this post, TP to the OP. That's basically what we are looking at moving forward, very possibly next year, if KG decides to retire and Pierce follows. And the more we lose this year, the more likely I think KG might retire...
There is a part of me that enjoyed watching the young Celtics team that loss 18 straight a few years back more than watching a talented, veteran team go 20-20 this year...
But let's look at your lineup - our young core of players -
Melo / Wilcox 9because he's cheap, somewhat young...) Sully / Bass (Same as Wilcox) Green / Bradley / Lee Rondo / Barbosa
I have no reservations about Sully becoming a starter in this league and if Melo pans out they could be a formidable duo in the paint. I have concerns about Bradley as a long term starter at the two spot. His heart is there but I don't know if, long term, his body can handle the pounding, largely because of his size. Courtney Lee isn't the answer, though I like him as a backup very much.
I think the more uptempo we can play the better off Jeff green will be in our system.
So:
1. We have Bradley, Sully and Melo very cheap for the next 2-4 years...
2. If we can put two max level talents at the 2/3 or 4 spots at the trade deadline or over the summer now how does that team look?
Hypothetical:
Melo / Wilcox / Dalembert or other Vet Josh Smith / Sully Rudy Gay / Green OJ mayo Type guard - not a max guy / Courtney lee Rondo / Bradley
You basically take out Pierce and KG and repalce them with young Max players. maybe you can't to it this year because of Cap and you hit the lottery for one year, get a great pick and then use your cap space to get two max guys...
That young team would have a very reasonable shot at competing with anyone in the east.
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ScoobyDoo
Bill Walton 
Tommy Points: 375
OfflinePosts: 2044
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« Reply #18 on: January 23, 2013, 05:07:55 PM » |
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Before I get hammered, my condensed point is, if you take:
Melo / Wilcox 9because he's cheap, somewhat young...) Sully / Bass (Same as Wilcox) Green / Bradley / Lee Rondo / Barbosa
as a core of young players...
and then add two max talents to that core, whoever you can manage at the 2/3 or 4 spots when you get cap relief after KG and Pierce retire, that team could quickly become very competitive.
You can pick and choose who's a max talent and who isn't and if you have a one down year while cap is clearing, let the young kids grow by taking a beating like all the other young teams did until they grew up - OKC - go to the lottery and hopefully get a blue chipper to add to the core.
Big question for me is, do you try to get another piece right now by making a fairly big move or do you let KG, Pierce play out the string.
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ScoobyDoo
Bill Walton 
Tommy Points: 375
OfflinePosts: 2044
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« Reply #19 on: January 23, 2013, 05:11:31 PM » |
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Last note - I think Melo is a real key question mark. If he pans out and can become a decent to good starter as a solid defensive presence, with Rondo at the point, it's just filling in the middle with a couple max guys at the wings, possibly the four, depending on how Sully improves.
if Sully starts looking like a 15/10 guy at PF with great D, I focus my max money at the 2/3 spots...
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sofutomygaha
Rajon Rondo
Tommy Points: 103
OfflinePosts: 692
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« Reply #20 on: January 23, 2013, 05:20:18 PM » |
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by win shares-
Rondo is historically worth around 10 wins per season, but as much as 15 if he's playing defense.
Bradley, playing at last year's level, staying healthy for 35 minutes per game, would be good for another 5 wins.
Sullinger, if he can get the fouls down and stay on the floor for 35 minutes, is good for another 9 at his present rates of production.
Green, playing like in his best season, chips in 2.5 more.
Fab Melo, imagining he could perform somewhere between Jonas Valenciunas and Festus Ezeli levels, could give you another 4.5 wins.
Add in a league-average bench filling in the remaining minutes, and you've got yourself a 30 win team.
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SEATTLE SUPERSONICS 1. Rajon Rondo (11), John Lucas III (1.5) 2. Tyreke Evans (5.2), Francisco Garcia (6.1) 3. Ersan Ilvasova (7.9), Steve Novak(4.3), Jonas Jerebko(4.5) 4. Kenneth Faried (1.3), Amir Johnson (6), Andrew Nicholson(1.4) 5. Anderson Varejao (8.4), Kosta Koufos(3) CAP REMAINING: $10
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pearljammer10
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« Reply #21 on: January 23, 2013, 05:31:58 PM » |
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In what year are we talking?
If KG and Pierce retired next year, I'd say that starting lineup gets us firmly into the lottery.
This was my question as well. Next year maybe we hit 35 wins tops... 3 years from now, above .500 club depending on the bench.
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sofutomygaha
Rajon Rondo
Tommy Points: 103
OfflinePosts: 692
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« Reply #22 on: January 23, 2013, 05:40:20 PM » |
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Now in 3 years, Rondo and Green will be 29, Melo and Bradley will be 25, and Sullinger will be 23. Let's go crazy and imagine
RONDO - returns to peak form and earns 14 wins BRADLEY - earns an iguodalesque 11 wins SULLINGER - bags a Boozerian 11.5 wins MELO - brings home a Noahlithic 9 wins GREEN - fulfills expectations (mine) with a positively greenish 2.5 additional wins.
throw in a good to very good bench worth 7 more wins and you just went 56-26. You're the second coming of the 2010-11 Celtics, baby!
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SEATTLE SUPERSONICS 1. Rajon Rondo (11), John Lucas III (1.5) 2. Tyreke Evans (5.2), Francisco Garcia (6.1) 3. Ersan Ilvasova (7.9), Steve Novak(4.3), Jonas Jerebko(4.5) 4. Kenneth Faried (1.3), Amir Johnson (6), Andrew Nicholson(1.4) 5. Anderson Varejao (8.4), Kosta Koufos(3) CAP REMAINING: $10
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AB_Celtic
Paul Pierce
Tommy Points: 140
OnlinePosts: 1296
Hey Doc/Danny: I'm 5'11" let me play center
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« Reply #23 on: January 23, 2013, 05:43:17 PM » |
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Now in 3 years, Rondo and Green will be 29, Melo and Bradley will be 25, and Sullinger will be 23. Let's go crazy and imagine
RONDO - returns to peak form and earns 14 wins BRADLEY - earns an iguodalesque 11 wins SULLINGER - bags a Boozerian 11.5 wins MELO - brings home a Noahlithic 9 wins GREEN - fulfills expectations (mine) with a positively greenish 2.5 additional wins.
throw in a good to very good bench worth 7 more wins and you just went 56-26. You're the second coming of the 2010-11 Celtics, baby!
Great use of adjectives  TP
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2013 Historical Draft: Washington Bullets
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CelticConcourse
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« Reply #24 on: January 23, 2013, 06:17:17 PM » |
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I feel with that lineup, we could snag a legit top-4 seed. Each of those players sans Melo will be above league average at their positions. The question is, who will be our bench? No idea yet.
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Jeff Green - Top 5 SF[Kevin Garnett] "I've always said J. Green is going to be one of the best players to ever play this game"
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CelticsFan9
Paul Pierce
Tommy Points: 94
OfflinePosts: 1263
Can Sully has cheeseburgers?
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« Reply #25 on: January 23, 2013, 06:23:57 PM » |
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I feel with that lineup, we could snag a legit top-4 seed. Each of those players sans Melo will be above league average at their positions. The question is, who will be our bench? No idea yet.
Rondo is the only player that is above average for his position. Maybe Sully and Bradley in a couple years, but that's it. Green is your average SF. He is a jack-of-all-trades; he can do a little bit of everything, but nothing elite. The only way you become an elite SF is if you become elite in one category (or in LeBron's case, just about every category). The only thing Jeff is elite in is inconsistency. Melo has yet to play an NBA game, so I'm not going to bother explaining his future.
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lantinm
Courtney Lee
Tommy Points: 25
OfflinePosts: 239
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« Reply #26 on: January 23, 2013, 06:27:02 PM » |
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CelticConcourse - I appreciate the enthusiasm that you have for our younger players, but the Rondo/Bradley/Green/Sully/Melo lineup isn't championship caliber. We need a star at one of the wing spots, and Bradley and Green aren't stars. If you want to substitute Green with Wiggins, Parker, or Muhammed, then I would feel a lot better about our future.
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CelticConcourse
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« Reply #27 on: January 23, 2013, 06:27:12 PM » |
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I feel with that lineup, we could snag a legit top-4 seed. Each of those players sans Melo will be above league average at their positions. The question is, who will be our bench? No idea yet.
Rondo is the only player that is above average for his position. Maybe Sully and Bradley in a couple years, but that's it.
Green is your average SF. He is a jack-of-all-trades; he can do a little bit of everything, but nothing elite. The only way you become an elite SF is if you become elite in one category (or in LeBron's case, just about every category). The only thing Jeff is elite in is inconsistency.
Melo has yet to play an NBA game, so I'm not going to bother explaining his future.
If you know me, im the ultimate Jeff-Green optimist.  that makes four above average and one unknown in the least important position
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Jeff Green - Top 5 SF[Kevin Garnett] "I've always said J. Green is going to be one of the best players to ever play this game"
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