« Reply #978 on: November 03, 2012, 12:04:13 PM »
Little by little Obama seems to be widening the gap in Ohio, while Romney's lead in Florida seems to be shrinking...
Yet, they're both hitting Ohio hard. From Obama's standpoint, it makes sense since a Ohio win practically guarantees he wins the election. But is he missing an opportunity in Florida, a state with more electoral votes? Same goes for Romney, maybe he figures that if he loses Ohio, his path to victory will be very hard, yet I can't help but imagine if he should be focusing more efforts in Florida to make sure that state remains his.
Not sure of what's the correct way to go, if I were Obama I'd jump on Florida this weekend.
From today:
Florida continues to look good for Mitt Romney. The Republican holds a 6-point lead in the state essential to his hopes of defeating President Barack Obama, according to a new Tampa Bay Times/Bay News 9/Miami Herald poll.
It definitely seems that Florida is becoming competitive for Obama again: the TBT poll previously gave Romney a +7 advantage, and all the other polls this past week (NBC/WSJ, Ipsos/Reuters, Gravis) show either Obama or Romney ahead, but within the margin of error for both.
However, I think Obama would be wise to keep focusing on Ohio, and if he considers shifting resources, it should be to VA rather than FL.
I think Obama needs to shift some resources to PA as that is also becoming very competitive again. The GOP has killed it there in the early voting
I think Obama has already spent a little bit of money there to couteract some of the ads put out by Romney there a few weeks ago, but I don't expect Obama to try to match Romney's recent foray into PA. I think its a big gamble on Romney's part, and more about trying to pursuade people he hasn't lost momentum.
Plust, I didn't think PA had early voting. Am I wrong?
Sorry it was the absentee voting counts that had Romney up 19 points in PA, not early voting. For comparison McCain was up 1.9 percent in absentee ballots in 2008 in PA

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