if I'm Orlando and it's at all possible, I'd look to move him somewhere else besides Brooklyn for a reasonable exchange OR make him play out the season in Orlando---preferably as an inactive player for the season
OF course. The problem is... Dwight and his people will probably tell any team attempting to trade for him that he is not interested in signing an extension and only wants to go to Brooklyn. A team may call his bluff and take a risk, but then they are in the same position the Magic are in. If you can't convince Dwight to sign an extension... do you really want to give up significant pieces only to rent him for a season and see him sign with Brooklyn in 2013?
That's why I have maintained since the week the Magic suckered him into staying another year that he'll be traded (most likely to Brooklyn) between June 28th (draft) and July 11th (start of free agency). My reasoning is... the only team he wants to sign an extension with is Brooklyn... and Brooklyn absolutely will have urgency to get a deal done quickly or risk losing Deron Williams AND possibly Gerald Wallace (who they gave up the 6th pick for) to free agency. They are both unrestricted. Brooklyn can't risk blowing this. They will give Orlando ANYTHING they want outside of Deron Williams... and that probably will be better than what Orlando could get from a team lacking a Dwight extension.
For example... what would your offer be to Orlando for Dwight Howard if Dwight's people are telling you (true or not) that he absolutely will NOT sign an extension in Boston. Something silly like a sign-and-traded Ray Allen? Would you offer Paul Pierce and nothing else? Do you have the nuts to trade Rondo for Dwight and then throw all your cap room at Deron Williams ... praying that it all works out and you don't get stuck with Dwight leaving in a year and losing Rondo for nothing?
There is, however, a small "rebuttal" to this that I'll acknowledge. Say you take a risk on trading significant pieces for Dwight Howard WITHOUT an extension locked up. I guess theoretically if you can't convince him to sign an extension before the trade deadline, you can always flip him to another team (Brooklyn, I guess). But at that point, what are the offers gonna be like? Who wants to rent Dwight for a half-season? Why would Brooklyn give up significant pieces at that point?... they'd probably just be content waiting half a season and then signing him in the summer of 2013.
So again... if the Nets are offering a package of Brook Lopez, Marshon Brooks, multiple first rounders, etc... or some package around a sign-and-trade (Kris Humphries or Gerald Wallace)... it might end up being the best offer the Magic get... and that urgency from Brooklyn (right before free agency) will probably force this thing to get done quick. If Deron flees for nothing... Brooklyn is in deep crap. Alternatively, if Brooklyn can somehow convince Deron to sign long-term BEFORE Dwight gets traded... Brooklyn no longer has the same urgency and Orlando may have blown their opportunity to fleece the Nets of all non-Deron related assets.
Thus... I continue to say we'll see the trade between the draft and the start of free agency.