I don't believe that I have a "prejudice" against Antoine. This would imply that i dislike him irrationally, or have no reasons to criticize him. I do not think that is true. I am simply mystified by the blind worship that he evokes.
1. "He's a winner."
By my count, we currently have 12 people on our roster with as much claim to being a "winner" as Antoine. This is the ultimate subjective label. Is Kidd a winner? Is Iverson? I often hear announces talk about Kidd as "just a winner" and do not say the same for Iverson. Well both have been to the finals and neither has won. A season ago, we might as well have traded KG, Pierce, and Ray for Antoine and Horry, since those guys are proven winners. "Winner" is a retroactive label. If only "winners" won, the NBA would be very predictable. By definition, most "winners" lose every year, and in most years more "non-winners" become "winners" by winning it all. Probably the most overused empty phrase in sports.
2. His role in Miami.
That team lived and died with Wade. It was not Shaq's team, it was Wade's, and when he turned it on was when the series tipped in there favor. Yes, Antoine played a significant role. So did Payton and Williams; both are out of the league. Should we sign them as well?
Of their top 8 players in the playoffs, Antoine was 7th in eFG% (ahead of Jason Williams), 8th in True Shooting % (his terrible foul shooting cost him that extra spot), and 7th in PER (ahead of Payton). I'm sure that he made some memorable plays, but all players in that series did, as would have any reasonably tallented alternate player. Certainly, his scoring totals look nice in that series, but look at how many shots it took to get those points. Those shots could have been taken by someone else more likely to make them. Yes he outscored Shaq, but why on earth would he out shot-attempt Shaq against Dallas?
-In the Dallas series, Antoine scored 1 more point than Shaq in 9 more minutes of playing time, and with 31 more field goal attempts. 31 attempts!
-Antoine: 83 points, 33 rebounds, 13 assists, .402 %
-Shaq: 82 points, 61 rebounds, 17 assists, .607 %
-Difference between losses and wins:
--Antoine: -4.5 shots per game, -3.68 p/40min, +2.61 r/40min.
--Shaq: +2.0 shots per game, +3.33 p/40min, +5.45 r/40min.
-It's very hard to say Antoine outplayed or was more important than Shaq in that series. Definitely not in the whole playoffs. But even just in that Dallas series, when Shaq started rebounding and shooting more, they won; when Antoine stopped shooting so much they started winning. Seems to me like Shaq was more important to their wins than Antoine.
3. Defense
The Celtics are a defensive team. Historically good last year. Antoine at 32 simply does not have the physical ability to defend as well as he used to. I'm sure that within the C's system some of his shortcomings would be hidden, but he's still a liability there. According to 82games, last year he was out performed by his opponent in terms of PER by -15.6 at SF and -5.8 at PF (granted his SF sample size was nil). Opposing PF's posted a PER of 19.2 against him; for reference, 82games has Rasheed Wallace at 19.6 PER last year. Basically, the guy Antione guarded turned into 'Sheed on offense. The season before he was outperformed by on.y -5.3 at PF (15.6 PER against), and the season before that ('05-'06), he outperformed his opponent by .3 (15.5 PER against him). Generally speaking, Walker's defense has certainly slipped, but not as quickly as his offense has. However, in no uncertain terms, Walker cannot defend small forwards. Which brings us to...
4. The current C's team.
Looks like we need some shot blocking center type or backup small forward. Antoine, especially now, is neither. He is not a small forward. His offense has plummeted, and he cannot defend the 3. If he were on this team he would be taking time away from both Powe and Davis, both of whom are already better than he is overall. A player of his current talent level and position simply does not fit with the C's.
5. His plummeting offense.
Since his certainly good season in '05-'06 with Miami:
-FG% dropped from .435 to .397 to .363
-3p FG% dropped from .358 to .275 to .324
-FT 5 dropped from .628 to .438 to .530
--Considering that his 3 point FG% increased last season from '06-'07, yet his overall FG continued to decrease, this shows that he is becoming increasingly unable to make 2 point shots and/or shots right around the basket. This is not good news for a Power Forward.
-In fact, his True Shooting went from 52.4 (far and away a career high) to 46.2 to 45.5.
-His PER has gone from 14.47 to 9.65 to 11.51.
6. This is simply not the old Walker.
I love what Antoine did for the Celtics when he was in Green. I started watching them in 2000 (didn't really have tv before then) and Antoine was the star of the team and was one of the main forces behind the Celtics' playoff pushes for those few seasons. He earned my respect from that. When he returned to the Celtics, he energized the team and they made another playoff push. He deserves recognition for that wonderful moment in Celtics history; he helped make it fun to be a fan for that stretch run. When he returned, he was disciplined. He rebounded at near his peak rate and attempted a career low in 3 pointers (this is a very good thing). This is not the player he is now. I loved Antoine when he was on the Celtics, but he is not that player anymore. I don't particularly think this squad needs what he has to offer; at this point few teams do. In no way does this mean that Antoine was not a good player or a good Celtic. He was.