here's how i look at it. in 06-07, IF we'd been relatively healthy all year - especially pierce - we would have made the playoffs. a combo of pierce and jefferson would have been tough to stop offensively. certainly to the extent that they could have won 40 games.
now, add in ray allen, plus an additional year of experience for the other guys, and i really think you're looking at an eastern conference finals team. in no way do i think jefferson is as good as garnett, but as a pure low post scorer, jefferson is definitely better. he pretty much commands a double team, which is tough on the other team because of pierce and killer ray. so, we might have been a little better offensively than we were with garnett. we wouldnt have nearly as much experience off the bench, but we would have had more athleticism. in some games, that could have been key.
that being said, we wouldnt have been nearly as good defensively, which is why i dont think we could have gotten over the hump in the playoffs. i say about 50-52 wins and a loss in 6 to detroit in the ECF.