It seems like Danny is trying to use part of the MLE to sign Bill Walker or some FA. I think He gave Posey a low ball offer so he can use the other money elsewhere. I think Mark Bartelstein is set on him getting paid the full MLE. I think Posey will take the 3 year full MLE deal on the 9th(or whenever they can sign). Its been said he wants a 4 or 5 year deal but I think he's going to stay with us. Posey was an emotional leader this year and I doubt he would want to play anywhere else after last season.
The reason for the "low ball" offer is that Ainge is simply offering Posey the maximum amount he can WITHOUT using the MLE. Basically since Posey made 3.2 million last year we can give him a 20% increase which makes the first year salary on his new contract 3.8 million... then it can go up 8% each year after that. So roughly 4.1 the second year and 4.4 the third year. These are my own figures but it adds up to 3 years 12 million which is the number the Herald mentioned.
So let me say my personal thoughts. I loved Posey. He hit a ton of threes... apparently was key to our defense, was clutch and offered tons of manhugs. But I think paying him the full MLE would make him overpaid. Just my personal opinion though. Especially at 4-5 years. I forget where I read them, but one poster was providing some +/- numbers and some defensive statistics that kind of showed that Posey wasn't really that amazing in the playoffs. I mean, stats don't show everything... but I also don't recall ever seeing Posey shut down LeBron or Kobe. We needed Pierce for that. Do I want Posey back?... yes. Do I think he deserves 5 years 32 million?... not really. Let some other team overpay him. He's a role player. He's a glue guy... but he wouldn't be my first option especially considering his age. He also was a key character in our 2008 NBA Championship so I don't blame people for worrying about our chemistry and having attachment to the guy. I'm just glad Ainge doesn't get swayed by this.
I love the Maggette idea. I think he can learn to play defense in our system just as much as Ray has and every freakin player on this team has. And his offense is far far superior to Posey. He would strengthen our bench, allow us to tone down the minutes for Ray and Pierce (lengthening their careers in the process)... I just love the idea. I'm really really hoping we get him and I think the attachment everyone has for Posey is making them underrate how awesome it would be to be adding a guy in his prime who is basically a borderline allstar to our bench. The guy averaged 22 and 6 last year. Yes, I know stats aren't everything. But if you're looking for reference... KG ranked #9 in statistical efficiency last year, Paul Pierce ranked #36, Maggette ranked #45, Ray Allen ranked #80 and Rondo ranked #98.
Speaking on Posey though... we COULD feasibly end up getting both of them if Posey accepted the 3 year 12 million (the max we can give him without giving him the MLE... a "non bird rights" contract that I explained earlier) and also get Maggette by giving him the full MLE. But even if Posey felt he was underpaid there are other options for him if he decides to go that route. I'm pretty sure I'm correct on this next part (I was discussing it at length with Roy Hobbs a couple days ago). If we give Posey an player option to opt out after the first year of his contract here is what could happen. Say he takes the 3.8 million this year. Next year he becomes a free agent. We still don't have his bird rights, because he has only been here 2 years (need 3 years to gain full bird rights). But apparently there is something Roy was explaining called "early bird rights"... basically it's a chance to give the player a 80% increase on his contract. So if those figures are right here is the scenario:
We offer him 3 years 12 million (he made 3.2 last year... 20% increase gives him 3.8 for first year of his new contract. 8% increase gives him 4.1 his second year. 8% increase gives him 4.4 his third year). Say he gets injured... he has a 3 year deal that he can stick with and still get paid the next two years while he festers on our disabled list. But say he's still an effective and attractive player at the end next season. Give him a player option. He could opt out. Then we can offer him and 80% increase. Which means his contract for 09-10 would start at 6.8 million (his early bird rights). Then of course after that season he would have full bird rights and we could literally sign him to anything...
So Posey still has the potential to make 3.8 million from us this year... 6.8 million next year... and X million+ the year after that (basically anything) if he plays well and demands the money. This would have absolutely NO effect on our MLE. We could do all of that while still signing Maggette to 5 years 32 million. Just an option