Here's the deal, with a starting salary of $12,500,000 (being conservative as you put it) depending on what type of contract it is (larry bird or extension) this is what he could make in 6 years:
99.17 million for extension or 94.69 million for a new larry bird contract.
For 5 years it's 78.6 or 75.6 million respectively.
Using the figures of $13,500,000, these would be the results.
For 6 years: 105m or 102m
For 5 years: 83.6m or 81.6m
I just don't know what type of contract for the Clippers this is considered, so I put both scenarios.
Raises are not compounded, they're either based of on the last year of the current contract (before extension) for a contract extension or on the first year of the new contract for the other type.
Ah, I was compounding the raises, stupid Excel. .
I think that it's a new contract, he's an UFA right now, so they'll have to use the Larry Bird Exception to resign him, right?
So, we have a range between $75M and $105M, depending on Davis salary and Clippers cap holds. I think they'll find a way to make the deal (especially considering that Brandon only opted out to allow them to sign Davis).
Well, 105m is out of the picture on these calculations since that was for an extension... which apparently it isn't, so 102m would be the case.
But we're just throwing speculative numbers. The important thing is the starting salary. If you think $13.5 is the most they could offer him, then they can make an offer for up to 102 million for 6 years, or close to it.
But in order for Brand to accept the Warriors offer, they'd surely have to keep Davis. I don't think Brand accepts without Davis in there. And in order to keep Davis, I wonder how much they can actually offer him to fit in Brand. I don't think they can go high enough to keep Davis. They could renounce their rights to Monta Ellis, and see how that goes.
So for the Clippers side, this would mean that they'd regain their rights on Corey Maggette, they could go after Monta Ellis, and they could go after Josh Smith, Gilbert Arenas, etc.
With all that said, I'm 90% sure that Brand will stay with the Clippers, even if he has to take a paycut.