posted this in the other thread but this thread is more fitting...
If Elton Brand does not take this contract with the Warriors he is an absolute fool! Forget his "friendship" with Baron Davis, forget the fact that the Warriors don't have a PG and he would be in a little better talent situation with the Clippers. He is never going to win a championship with either one of those pathetic teams. Leaving 20 million on the table by re-signing with the Clips would be one of the all-time dumbest moves ever. In about 15 years when he has completely burned through this lower contracts money, like most athletes do, he will sure be wishing for that extra 20 million he should have had. You are crazy if you don't take this deal Elton!!!!!
Little better talent situation? Clippers are not crap anymore. They won't be contending for more than a playoff spot next year, but if Gordon pans out, Thornton continues to develop and if they spend their exceptions wisely next season and use their expirings to get some more help, they are definitely contenders as long as their core is healthy.
And Brand isn't signing a low contract with the Clippers and not turning down $20M. The max the Warriors can offer him is $90M/5years. Clippers will probably sign for $90M/6years. It's not really a $20M difference, it's a "how much money will Brand make in his 1st year after he's 34 years old?" difference. Adjusting to inflation, we may very well be talking about the MLE here. Or the LLE. Would you leave LA, your home, your movie businesses and a more talented team to end your career with $178M instead of $175m?
Anyway, it's not Brand's decision. Warriors can only sign him if the Clippers renounce to his Bird rights and they're not going to do that. And I don't think Mullin is very serious about this. If Brand signs for them, that would jeopardize his ability to retain Biedrins and Ellis. What do you think it's more important? He doesn't really trying to sign Brand, just getting a S&T for Davis. But it's improbable. This offer is more about epater le bourgeouis than anything else.
You're wrong Cordobes. They can't offer the same amount that the Warriors can. Read this:
http://realgm.com/src_wiretap_archives/53371/20080703/clippers_nervous_about_brand/
If the money is the same then it's a no-brainer to stay where you are. The Clips are a better team if he signs and with Baron. They are however still the Paper Clips and will not now, nor ever, win a championship with the clowns that run that organization. Especially in the West.
As far as Brand's intelligence, what possibly could you be basing that on? His interviews, his drives to the basket?! We don't know this guy's intelligence level at all any more than you know what type of music he listens to, what type of women he finds attractive... Here's a nice artical from ESPN talking about this problem athletes have.
http://sports.espn.go.com/espnmag/story?id=3469271
Fact is, 20 million dollars is an obscene amount of money more than the Clips are able to offer. The only way he shouldn't pull a Boozer is if he is absolutely stupid. A few years in the second round of the playoffs vs. the first round 10 years from now is not worth 20 mil.
I don't think that article is accurate at all. ESPN guys have no clue about they have been writing on this issue.
Here's what GSW is offering Brand:
$16,111,200 - starting salary (105% of his previous salary)
8% annual raises for 5 years
Total: $93,444,960
Here's what LAC can offer while still retaining room to sign Davis (aprox. values, don't know exactly their cap holds nor Davis 1st year salary; conservative estimative):
$12,500,000
10,5% annual raises for 6 years
Total:$105,483,687
or
10,5% annual raises for 5 years (to have both contracts - Davis and Brand - expiring in the same year):
Total: $83,243,156
I've not mentioned Brand's intelligence at all, so I have no idea why you brought up that issue... crossed threads, maybe?
I used the wrong numbers that why my numbers and yours varied... I was using 12,500,000 as starting salary.
Still the question still applies, is this considered a contract extension or a new contract for the Clippers?
Using $12,5M as the starting salary, the total values equate $98M and $78M respectively, right? Still, the 6 years contract is more than what the Warriors can offer.
I think it's a new contract, using the Larry Bird exception.
I'll just throw my own calculations because you re-editing your post while I made mine messed up my response.
Here's the deal, with a starting salary of $12,500,000 (being conservative as you put it) depending on what type of contract it is (larry bird or extension) this is what he could make in 6 years:
99.17 million for extension or 94.69 million for a new larry bird contract.
For 5 years it's 78.6 or 75.6 million respectively.
Using the figures of $13,500,000, these would be the results.
For 6 years: 105m or 102m
For 5 years: 83.6m or 81.6m
I just don't know what type of contract for the Clippers this is considered, so I put both scenarios.
Raises are not compounded, they're either based of on the last year of the current contract (before extension) for a contract extension or on the first year of the new contract for the other type.
So, in the 12.5m scenario you can only make a raise of 1.6 million each year for an extension or 1.3 million if it's a new contract.