I don't understand the reasoning saying he's looking for a Posey type situation from last year, because I don't see how Maggette taking less money for one year and putting up worse numbers in limited minutes will help him get more money in future years. Everyone knows what Maggette can do
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The point is that everyone knows what Maggette can do, so putting up lower numbers next season won't bother anyone but performing on a winning, championship contending team will raise Maggette's stature in the league. Going deep into the playoffs next year with SA or Boston would greatly increase Maggette's chances of some team under the cap overpaying him like Orlando did with Rashard Lewis.
Frankly, the Clippers giving up his Bird-rights has really screwed Maggette. His best bet for big money now is to go to a contending team, sign and MLE deal for two years with a player option and then hope he can get an extension from that team over the MLE after the option year. But even then, he's probably going to miss out on millions he could have gotten otherwise.
Mike
I disagree. You mentioned Rashard Lewis, but he never went far in the playoffs and got max money, I just think some teams viewed Rashard Lewis as having a higher ceiling (being 6'10" helps GM's to overvalue a player like Lewis IMO). I view it more like Jerry Stackhouse, here's a guy who wanted max money with the Pistons, averaged 30ppg, and still couldn't get max money. Got traded (twice) and was happy to sign lesser deals/extensions with the Mavs because pretty much everyone in the past viewed Dallas as a perennial championship contender, and also because he realized he's stuck in a tough place, a skilled player that could be worth more, but due to the dynamics of the salary cap, it's very hard to get what you deserve($8-12M?) through free agency. It seems like most teams go after guys for the max, and then sign everyone else to MLE. The only way you're going to get more than that is by an extension from your current team or through a sign-and-trade.
If Maggette signs with the Spurs/Celtics, it would take a truly remarkable post season showing for Maggette to get anything more than he would get this year or next if he had not opted out. I'm talking 30ppg in the Finals and completely shutting down Kobe or LeBron, which I don't see happening. I just don't think a guy like Maggette can increase his value by settling for less now, he's in his prime, everyone know's what he can do, there's just nothing he can really do to increase his value anymore. Even if Maggette wins a championship next year, his value will still be the same around the league, IMO.
If everyone knows what Maggette can do, his value won't increase by doing less but winning a championship. I just don't see it happening, just my opinion though, I guess yours is different.
I agree on the Bird rights though, that's really hurting Maggette.